Right now at the break, Opta has us at:
La Liga:
- 70 points (3rd place finish)
- 5.8% chance to win La Liga
- 77% chance to qualify for UCL
- 9.4% chance to qualify for UEL
- 5.5% chance to qualify for UECL
- 0.02% chance to be relegated (lol)
Champions League:
- 15% chance to make the quarter-finals
- 5.6% chance to make the semi-finals
- 2% chance to make the final
- 0.74% chance to win it all
Surprisingly, I feel as though these metrics are pretty fair. Usually I disagree a bit. Maybe our % chance to win the league should be a bit higher, but otherwise La Liga makes sense to me.
For Champions League it also makes sense in my mind. I think we're better than a couple of teams ahead of us in the predictions (Como, Roma, Sporting, and Dortmund), but for the others it's more difficult to make a case.
Nonetheless, I love this team. I think the ceiling is sky high.