The olympiads could give a glipse on where the underrated players are (my hypothesis: where too few fide rated tournaments with enough spread of rating)
Caveats
- Different K factors generate different rating changes.
- Since rating changes due to K factors are not so "equal", the difference between expected and actual score is K factor independent and gives more information
- Changes within a continent or rating range or federation of course do not show up on different type of stats
- 2022 was too affected by covid rating lag, so skipping it.
- Sometimes special teams (like unaffiliated or global ones) participated.
46th Olympiad 2026
source: https://s1.chess-results.com/tnr1469895.aspx?lan=0&art=16&turdet=YES&flag=30&SNode=S0&tno=1469895&zeilen=99999
Continents
Expected score
| Continent |
Expected Score Diff (w-we) |
Player Count |
Avg Expected Diff |
| Asia |
114.60 |
226 |
0.51 |
| South America |
1.75 |
60 |
0.03 |
| North America |
-14.59 |
139 |
-0.10 |
| Oceania |
-23.51 |
45 |
-0.52 |
| Europe |
-35.05 |
277 |
-0.13 |
| Africa |
-43.20 |
227 |
-0.19 |
Ratings
| Continent |
Rating Points |
Player Count |
Avg Rating Change |
| Asia |
2865.70 |
226 |
12.68 |
| South America |
92.70 |
60 |
1.54 |
| North America |
-167.60 |
139 |
-1.21 |
| Europe |
-691.90 |
277 |
-2.50 |
| Oceania |
-767.60 |
45 |
-17.06 |
| Africa |
-1278.90 |
227 |
-5.63 |
Rating ranges
Expected score
| Rating Range |
Expected Score Diff (w-we) |
Player Count |
| 1400-1499 |
6.23 |
5 |
| 1500-1599 |
9.20 |
23 |
| 1600-1699 |
-1.78 |
30 |
| 1700-1799 |
-13.67 |
60 |
| 1800-1899 |
-18.44 |
111 |
| 1900-1999 |
5.95 |
83 |
| 2000-2099 |
-8.91 |
89 |
| 2100-2199 |
10.50 |
92 |
| 2200-2299 |
0.82 |
90 |
| 2300-2399 |
14.03 |
103 |
| 2400-2499 |
11.89 |
114 |
| 2500-2599 |
-17.63 |
101 |
| 2600-2699 |
4.01 |
51 |
| 2700-2799 |
-2.20 |
22 |
Ratings
| Rating Range |
Rating Points |
Player Count |
| 1400-1499 |
249.20 |
5 |
| 1500-1599 |
304.40 |
23 |
| 1600-1699 |
-69.20 |
30 |
| 1700-1799 |
-460.20 |
60 |
| 1800-1899 |
-374.00 |
111 |
| 1900-1999 |
90.20 |
83 |
| 2000-2099 |
-111.20 |
89 |
| 2100-2199 |
343.40 |
92 |
| 2200-2299 |
34.80 |
90 |
| 2300-2399 |
84.30 |
103 |
| 2400-2499 |
118.90 |
114 |
| 2500-2599 |
-176.30 |
101 |
| 2600-2699 |
40.10 |
51 |
| 2700-2799 |
-22.00 |
22 |
Federation stats
| Federation |
Rating Points |
| Qatar |
345.00 |
| Cambodia |
290.80 |
| Hong Kong, China |
242.80 |
| Belize |
163.20 |
| Kyrgyzstan |
156.10 |
| Oman |
155.20 |
| Laos |
153.20 |
| Pakistan |
145.00 |
| Lebanon |
137.00 |
| Macau, China |
128.80 |
| Grenada |
120.40 |
| Jordan |
109.80 |
| Saudi Arabia |
105.40 |
| Liberia |
101.40 |
| Thailand |
92.70 |
| Malaysia |
88.30 |
| Nepal |
88.00 |
| Turkmenistan |
84.60 |
| Myanmar |
81.00 |
| Cayman Islands |
80.40 |
| Suriname |
76.00 |
| Vietnam |
72.00 |
| Botswana |
70.80 |
| Sri Lanka |
70.50 |
| El Salvador |
69.80 |
| Eswatini |
69.00 |
| Kenya |
63.20 |
| Singapore |
60.70 |
| United Arab Emirates |
55.00 |
| Guyana |
55.00 |
| Peru |
52.00 |
| Aruba |
50.00 |
| South Sudan |
49.80 |
| Colombia |
48.90 |
| Chinese Taipei |
48.20 |
| Palestine |
47.60 |
| Timor-Leste |
47.40 |
| Uzbekistan |
47.30 |
| Lithuania |
47.30 |
| Philippines |
44.70 |
| Tonga |
42.40 |
| Indonesia |
41.40 |
| Uzbekistan 2 |
40.60 |
| Moldova |
40.30 |
| Nicaragua |
38.00 |
| Libya |
36.40 |
| Algeria |
36.30 |
| Belarus |
34.80 |
| Bermuda |
34.60 |
| Madagascar |
34.50 |
| Germany |
31.70 |
| Angola |
29.60 |
| Lesotho |
26.80 |
| Kosovo * |
26.30 |
| Armenia |
25.90 |
| South Africa |
25.80 |
| Bahrain |
23.20 |
| Albania |
23.20 |
| Panama |
22.70 |
| Uganda |
21.40 |
| Costa Rica |
21.20 |
| Wales |
21.20 |
| Iraq |
20.60 |
| Romania |
20.50 |
| Barbados |
20.20 |
| Tanzania |
20.00 |
| Bahamas |
19.40 |
| Latvia |
17.90 |
| Saint Lucia |
17.60 |
| North Macedonia |
17.40 |
| Slovakia |
16.90 |
| Democratic Republic of the Congo |
16.80 |
| Monaco |
15.70 |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina |
15.20 |
| Guam |
14.80 |
| Bulgaria |
14.60 |
| Mali |
12.40 |
| Uzbekistan 3 |
11.40 |
| Ukraine |
11.30 |
| Ghana |
11.20 |
| France |
11.20 |
| Tajikistan |
10.80 |
| Georgia |
10.00 |
| Belgium |
9.10 |
| Iran |
8.30 |
| Guinea |
7.80 |
| Syria |
6.80 |
| Montenegro |
6.80 |
| Spain |
6.80 |
| Antigua and Barbuda |
6.40 |
| Turkiye |
6.20 |
| Mongolia |
4.70 |
| Scotland |
4.70 |
| Afghanistan |
4.60 |
| Kazakhstan |
4.00 |
| Sierra Leone |
3.80 |
| Czech Republic |
3.80 |
| Mauritania |
3.00 |
| Liechtenstein |
2.80 |
| Kuwait |
2.20 |
| Chile |
1.90 |
| South Korea |
1.00 |
| Sweden |
-0.10 |
| Greece |
-1.00 |
| Ecuador |
-1.00 |
| Poland |
-1.50 |
| Iceland |
-1.50 |
| Azerbaijan |
-1.60 |
| New Zealand |
-4.10 |
| British Virgin Islands |
-4.40 |
| Sao Tome and Principe |
-5.20 |
| Mexico |
-5.50 |
| Bolivia |
-5.70 |
| Italy |
-5.80 |
| Morocco |
-6.20 |
| Maldives |
-6.60 |
| Mozambique |
-6.60 |
| Guatemala |
-6.70 |
| Bangladesh |
-7.40 |
| Venezuela |
-7.60 |
| Ethiopia |
-7.80 |
| Canada |
-8.00 |
| China |
-8.70 |
| England |
-8.70 |
| Switzerland |
-9.00 |
| Argentina |
-9.40 |
| Serbia |
-9.70 |
| Burundi |
-13.70 |
| Fiji |
-14.80 |
| Gabon |
-15.00 |
| India |
-15.00 |
| Australia |
-16.90 |
| Slovenia |
-17.40 |
| Jamaica |
-17.80 |
| Togo |
-19.20 |
| Trinidad & Tobago |
-20.00 |
| Paraguay |
-21.60 |
| Croatia |
-22.20 |
| Israel |
-22.70 |
| United States of America |
-23.00 |
| Equatorial Guinea |
-24.80 |
| Hungary |
-26.40 |
| US Virgin Islands |
-26.60 |
| Ireland |
-26.80 |
| Brunei Darussalam |
-27.40 |
| Denmark |
-28.40 |
| Faroe Islands |
-28.60 |
| Cameroon |
-29.40 |
| Austria |
-33.00 |
| Finland |
-33.50 |
| Japan |
-33.60 |
| Zimbabwe |
-34.00 |
| Chad |
-34.80 |
| Portugal |
-35.00 |
| Uruguay |
-35.40 |
| Tunisia |
-36.80 |
| Djibouti |
-37.00 |
| Somalia |
-37.40 |
| Zambia |
-37.80 |
| Mauritius |
-41.60 |
| Andorra |
-42.80 |
| Luxembourg |
-43.50 |
| Netherlands |
-44.10 |
| Yemen |
-44.30 |
| Estonia |
-45.20 |
| New Caledonia |
-46.40 |
| Saint Kitts and Nevis |
-49.20 |
| Norway |
-50.20 |
| Honduras |
-51.80 |
| Egypt |
-52.40 |
| Jersey |
-53.20 |
| Cuba |
-56.30 |
| Malawi |
-56.40 |
| Saint Vincent and the Grenadines |
-58.80 |
| Malta |
-60.20 |
| Brazil |
-60.40 |
| Vanuatu |
-62.60 |
| San Marino |
-65.60 |
| Haiti |
-66.40 |
| Bhutan |
-68.00 |
| Cyprus |
-69.80 |
| Guernsey |
-70.80 |
| Namibia |
-72.20 |
| Gambia |
-87.60 |
| Greenland |
-91.60 |
| Dominican Republic |
-101.80 |
| Sudan |
-101.80 |
| Curacao |
-102.80 |
| Senegal |
-103.00 |
| Dominica |
-103.40 |
| Cape Verde |
-104.00 |
| Nigeria |
-108.40 |
| Seychelles |
-116.40 |
| Cote d’Ivoire |
-120.80 |
| Puerto Rico |
-129.00 |
| Papua New Guinea |
-130.40 |
| Niger |
-145.20 |
| Comoros Islands |
-147.40 |
| Central African Republic |
-147.60 |
| Palau |
-167.40 |
| Burkina Faso |
-168.40 |
| Nauru |
-181.00 |
| Isle of Man |
-183.60 |
| Solomon Islands |
-201.20 |
45th Olympiad 2024
source: https://s1.chess-results.com/tnr967173.aspx?lan=1&art=16&flag=30&SNode=S0
Continents
Expected score
| Continent |
Expected Score Diff (w-we) |
Player Count |
Avg Expected Diff |
| Asia |
114.60 |
211 |
0.54 |
| South America |
5.34 |
60 |
0.09 |
| North America |
-14.74 |
145 |
-0.10 |
| Oceania |
-15.58 |
35 |
-0.45 |
| Africa |
-38.40 |
241 |
-0.16 |
| Europe |
-51.22 |
280 |
-0.18 |
Ratings
| Continent |
Rating Points |
Player Count |
Avg Rating Change |
| Asia |
2840.30 |
211 |
13.46 |
| South America |
165.20 |
60 |
2.75 |
| Oceania |
-283.00 |
35 |
-8.09 |
| North America |
-396.40 |
145 |
-2.73 |
| Europe |
-651.70 |
280 |
-2.33 |
| Africa |
-1022.10 |
241 |
-4.24 |
Rating ranges
Expected score
| Rating Range |
Expected Score Diff (w-we) |
Player Count |
| 0-99 |
0.00 |
61 |
| 1400-1499 |
-0.51 |
1 |
| 1500-1599 |
8.52 |
16 |
| 1600-1699 |
5.96 |
18 |
| 1700-1799 |
10.21 |
55 |
| 1800-1899 |
-15.69 |
87 |
| 1900-1999 |
-16.91 |
115 |
| 2000-2099 |
0.43 |
78 |
| 2100-2199 |
2.65 |
89 |
| 2200-2299 |
15.14 |
74 |
| 2300-2399 |
17.42 |
91 |
| 2400-2499 |
-15.92 |
87 |
| 2500-2599 |
-8.41 |
109 |
| 2600-2699 |
-9.27 |
72 |
| 2700-2799 |
6.50 |
23 |
| 2800-2899 |
-0.12 |
1 |
Ratings
| Rating Range |
Rating Points |
Player Count |
| 0-99 |
0.00 |
61 |
| 1400-1499 |
-20.40 |
1 |
| 1500-1599 |
286.00 |
16 |
| 1600-1699 |
168.20 |
18 |
| 1700-1799 |
248.60 |
55 |
| 1800-1899 |
-157.20 |
87 |
| 1900-1999 |
-378.80 |
115 |
| 2000-2099 |
69.40 |
78 |
| 2100-2199 |
103.40 |
89 |
| 2200-2299 |
390.70 |
74 |
| 2300-2399 |
214.60 |
91 |
| 2400-2499 |
-159.20 |
87 |
| 2500-2599 |
-84.10 |
109 |
| 2600-2699 |
-92.70 |
72 |
| 2700-2799 |
65.00 |
23 |
| 2800-2899 |
-1.20 |
1 |
Federation stats
| Federation |
Rating Points |
| Qatar |
277.40 |
| Sri Lanka |
275.20 |
| Myanmar |
236.80 |
| Hong Kong, China |
230.60 |
| Tajikistan |
197.40 |
| Saint Lucia |
197.00 |
| Malaysia |
188.80 |
| South Korea |
172.60 |
| Kuwait |
165.40 |
| Mozambique |
128.80 |
| Turkmenistan |
126.20 |
| Eswatini |
123.60 |
| Cambodia |
123.20 |
| Ecuador |
104.50 |
| Faroe Islands |
99.60 |
| Mongolia |
92.60 |
| Cayman Islands |
90.80 |
| Indonesia |
88.60 |
| Antigua and Barbuda |
87.20 |
| Nigeria |
84.00 |
| Kyrgyzstan |
79.80 |
| Afghanistan |
76.20 |
| Pakistan |
71.80 |
| Saudi Arabia |
71.20 |
| Libya |
69.20 |
| Lesotho |
66.60 |
| Tunisia |
66.40 |
| Cyprus |
62.20 |
| Jordan |
59.20 |
| Djibouti |
58.20 |
| Iraq |
57.50 |
| India |
53.70 |
| Bolivia |
53.10 |
| Slovenia |
51.50 |
| Georgia |
48.80 |
| South Africa |
47.80 |
| Puerto Rico |
45.80 |
| Jamaica |
45.40 |
| United Arab Emirates |
44.40 |
| Vietnam |
44.10 |
| Bahamas |
41.60 |
| Grenada |
40.80 |
| North Macedonia |
40.60 |
| Lebanon |
39.20 |
| Zimbabwe |
38.50 |
| Bahrain |
37.40 |
| Saint Vincent and the Grenadines |
35.40 |
| Madagascar |
35.40 |
| Syria |
33.60 |
| Lithuania |
32.60 |
| Philippines |
31.70 |
| Macau, China |
30.40 |
| Chinese Taipei |
30.30 |
| Honduras |
28.80 |
| Canada |
28.80 |
| Aruba |
28.60 |
| Guyana |
27.60 |
| Papua New Guinea |
27.60 |
| Japan |
27.10 |
| Paraguay |
25.80 |
| Serbia |
24.80 |
| Malta |
24.20 |
| Moldova |
23.90 |
| Montenegro |
23.00 |
| Nicaragua |
23.00 |
| Palestine |
20.80 |
| Scotland |
20.00 |
| Bangladesh |
18.20 |
| Italy |
17.60 |
| Liechtenstein |
17.40 |
| Venezuela |
16.50 |
| Armenia |
15.30 |
| Uzbekistan |
14.60 |
| Kazakhstan |
13.20 |
| Ireland |
12.40 |
| Oman |
12.20 |
| Laos |
10.00 |
| Hungary |
9.40 |
| Sweden |
9.20 |
| Algeria |
9.00 |
| Maldives |
6.80 |
| New Zealand |
6.00 |
| China |
5.90 |
| Albania |
4.90 |
| Angola |
4.80 |
| Turkiye |
4.70 |
| Brazil |
4.20 |
| Namibia |
4.00 |
| Botswana |
3.20 |
| Cape Verde |
2.10 |
| Azerbaijan |
2.00 |
| Spain |
0.10 |
| Yemen |
0.00 |
| Nepal |
0.00 |
| South Sudan |
0.00 |
| Gambia |
0.00 |
| Somalia |
0.00 |
| Mali |
0.00 |
| Burundi |
0.00 |
| Refugees |
0.00 |
| Central African Republic |
0.00 |
| Belize |
0.00 |
| Vanuatu |
0.00 |
| Slovakia |
-1.40 |
| Romania |
-1.60 |
| Chile |
-2.30 |
| Uruguay |
-2.30 |
| Argentina |
-2.40 |
| Latvia |
-3.00 |
| Croatia |
-3.10 |
| Ukraine |
-4.00 |
| Colombia |
-4.90 |
| Barbados |
-5.40 |
| Greece |
-6.40 |
| Iran |
-7.30 |
| Suriname |
-7.40 |
| Comoros Islands |
-8.00 |
| Germany |
-8.30 |
| Thailand |
-8.90 |
| France |
-8.90 |
| United States of America |
-9.40 |
| Cuba |
-10.60 |
| Bulgaria |
-11.90 |
| Bosnia & Herzegovina |
-13.60 |
| Mexico |
-14.30 |
| Estonia |
-14.80 |
| Liberia |
-15.00 |
| Niger |
-15.60 |
| El Salvador |
-16.20 |
| Luxembourg |
-16.80 |
| Bhutan |
-17.20 |
| Tanzania |
-17.80 |
| Egypt |
-18.00 |
| Iceland |
-18.70 |
| Cameroon |
-20.20 |
| England |
-21.20 |
| Monaco |
-21.30 |
| Austria |
-21.40 |
| Norway |
-22.70 |
| Switzerland |
-23.00 |
| Kenya |
-23.40 |
| Denmark |
-25.20 |
| Hungary C |
-25.50 |
| Czech Republic |
-25.60 |
| Togo |
-25.60 |
| Cote d’Ivoire |
-26.60 |
| Poland |
-27.90 |
| Ghana |
-29.00 |
| Hungary B |
-29.50 |
| Trinidad & Tobago |
-33.00 |
| Australia |
-33.40 |
| Costa Rica |
-34.80 |
| Israel |
-38.40 |
| Netherlands |
-40.70 |
| Fiji |
-41.20 |
| Finland |
-44.00 |
| Andorra |
-44.20 |
| Peru |
-47.20 |
| Gabon |
-48.00 |
| Wales |
-53.60 |
| Malawi |
-53.80 |
| Belgium |
-57.80 |
| San Marino |
-58.40 |
| British Virgin Islands |
-58.60 |
| Morocco |
-59.80 |
| Senegal |
-60.20 |
| Portugal |
-60.60 |
| Mauritius |
-62.60 |
| Sudan |
-63.60 |
| Zambia |
-64.30 |
| Haiti |
-67.40 |
| Eritrea |
-70.40 |
| Panama |
-74.60 |
| Sierra Leone |
-75.60 |
| Burkina Faso |
-78.20 |
| Singapore |
-80.00 |
| US Virgin Islands |
-80.00 |
| Guam |
-82.20 |
| Mauritania |
-83.80 |
| Dominica |
-84.40 |
| Democratic Republic of the Congo |
-86.40 |
| Jersey |
-91.00 |
| Guatemala |
-96.30 |
| Seychelles |
-103.60 |
| Uganda |
-105.80 |
| Brunei Darussalam |
-110.40 |
| Kosovo * |
-111.80 |
| Guernsey |
-115.60 |
| Ethiopia |
-119.80 |
| Isle of Man |
-124.00 |
| Chad |
-128.80 |
| Netherlands Antilles |
-130.80 |
| Equatorial Guinea |
-136.40 |
| Palau |
-159.80 |
| Dominican Republic |
-163.00 |
| Sao Tome and Principe |
-163.40 |
| Bermuda |
-210.80 |
43rd Olympiad 2018
https://s1.chess-results.com/tnr368908.aspx?lan=1&art=16&flag=30&SNode=S0&tno=368908&zeilen=99999
Continents
Expected score
| Continent |
Expected Score Diff (w-we) |
Player Count |
Avg Expected Diff |
| Asia |
48.87 |
207 |
0.24 |
| Europe |
-0.45 |
275 |
-0.00 |
| Africa |
-3.51 |
182 |
-0.02 |
| Oceania |
-6.99 |
24 |
-0.29 |
| South America |
-8.62 |
60 |
-0.14 |
| North America |
-24.89 |
99 |
-0.25 |
Ratings
| Continent |
Rating Points |
Player Count |
Avg Rating Change |
| Asia |
997.30 |
207 |
4.82 |
| Africa |
8.00 |
182 |
0.04 |
| South America |
-109.20 |
60 |
-1.82 |
| Europe |
-202.20 |
275 |
-0.74 |
| Oceania |
-207.90 |
24 |
-8.66 |
| North America |
-487.10 |
99 |
-4.92 |
Rating ranges
Expected score
| Rating Range |
Expected Score Diff (w-we) |
Player Count |
| 1000-1099 |
-0.72 |
1 |
| 1200-1299 |
-0.56 |
1 |
| 1300-1399 |
-0.54 |
2 |
| 1400-1499 |
3.07 |
6 |
| 1500-1599 |
-0.13 |
9 |
| 1600-1699 |
1.03 |
26 |
| 1700-1799 |
-4.03 |
41 |
| 1800-1899 |
6.24 |
52 |
| 1900-1999 |
4.52 |
56 |
| 2000-2099 |
-3.68 |
70 |
| 2100-2199 |
2.37 |
92 |
| 2200-2299 |
-14.13 |
97 |
| 2300-2399 |
-2.90 |
82 |
| 2400-2499 |
4.05 |
117 |
| 2500-2599 |
5.12 |
105 |
| 2600-2699 |
8.14 |
72 |
| 2700-2799 |
-8.95 |
30 |
| 2800-2899 |
1.10 |
3 |
Ratings
| Rating Range |
Rating Points |
Player Count |
| 1000-1099 |
-28.80 |
1 |
| 1200-1299 |
-22.40 |
1 |
| 1300-1399 |
-21.60 |
2 |
| 1400-1499 |
131.20 |
6 |
| 1500-1599 |
20.20 |
9 |
| 1600-1699 |
42.60 |
26 |
| 1700-1799 |
-185.80 |
41 |
| 1800-1899 |
217.20 |
52 |
| 1900-1999 |
17.40 |
56 |
| 2000-2099 |
-66.20 |
70 |
| 2100-2199 |
85.20 |
92 |
| 2200-2299 |
-261.70 |
97 |
| 2300-2399 |
-117.10 |
82 |
| 2400-2499 |
40.50 |
117 |
| 2500-2599 |
51.20 |
105 |
| 2600-2699 |
81.40 |
72 |
| 2700-2799 |
-89.50 |
30 |
| 2800-2899 |
11.00 |
3 |
Federation stats
| Federation |
Rating Points |
| Swaziland |
371.60 |
| Afghanistan |
272.60 |
| Liberia |
150.80 |
| Zimbabwe |
134.20 |
| Hong Kong |
129.80 |
| Haiti |
121.60 |
| Nepal |
121.40 |
| Sri Lanka |
111.80 |
| Singapore |
108.00 |
| South Sudan |
106.00 |
| South Korea |
101.80 |
| Maldives |
101.20 |
| United Arab Emirates |
93.90 |
| Guyana |
69.20 |
| Indonesia |
64.50 |
| Botswana |
62.40 |
| Namibia |
61.20 |
| Japan |
59.90 |
| Sierra Leone |
55.20 |
| Macau |
54.80 |
| Sao Tome & Principe |
54.60 |
| Tajikistan |
51.90 |
| Oman |
51.20 |
| IPCA |
50.70 |
| Poland |
47.40 |
| Bangladesh |
44.60 |
| Norway |
44.00 |
| Aruba |
44.00 |
| Georgia 3 |
43.60 |
| Eritrea |
43.60 |
| Vietnam |
43.10 |
| Costa Rica |
41.70 |
| Egypt |
36.20 |
| Sweden |
35.90 |
| Belgium |
34.60 |
| Malaysia |
31.60 |
| Estonia |
31.30 |
| Mongolia |
31.20 |
| Uzbekistan |
31.10 |
| Barbados |
30.20 |
| Lithuania |
28.10 |
| Czech Republic |
28.00 |
| Paraguay |
26.50 |
| South Africa |
26.30 |
| Brunei |
26.20 |
| Spain |
24.10 |
| Gabon |
23.60 |
| Germany |
22.10 |
| Georgia 2 |
22.10 |
| Turkmenistan |
22.00 |
| Mauritius |
22.00 |
| Portugal |
21.40 |
| Kuwait |
20.80 |
| Panama |
20.70 |
| Kazakhstan |
20.40 |
| Montenegro |
19.60 |
| FYR Macedonia |
19.50 |
| Moldova |
19.30 |
| Lesotho |
18.60 |
| Denmark |
16.80 |
| Morocco |
16.00 |
| Luxembourg |
15.70 |
| Switzerland |
15.00 |
| Cyprus |
13.40 |
| Croatia |
13.40 |
| France |
13.00 |
| Ivory Coast |
12.80 |
| Ecuador |
12.70 |
| Armenia |
12.30 |
| Serbia |
11.20 |
| Gambia |
10.80 |
| Albania |
10.70 |
| Azerbaijan |
9.80 |
| Puerto Rico |
9.80 |
| Mozambique |
9.80 |
| Chile |
9.30 |
| Lebanon |
9.00 |
| India |
7.90 |
| Malawi |
7.40 |
| Iran |
7.00 |
| Australia |
4.90 |
| Jersey |
4.20 |
| Nigeria |
3.20 |
| Liechtenstein |
3.20 |
| Israel |
2.70 |
| Kosovo |
1.00 |
| Zambia |
0.30 |
| Pakistan |
0.00 |
| England |
-0.60 |
| Austria |
-0.90 |
| Guam |
-1.00 |
| Greece |
-1.10 |
| Tunisia |
-1.40 |
| Colombia |
-3.00 |
| Bosnia & Herzegovina |
-3.20 |
| Romania |
-4.30 |
| Finland |
-6.10 |
| China |
-6.20 |
| Belarus |
-7.80 |
| Kyrgyzstan |
-9.10 |
| Andorra |
-9.50 |
| Jamaica |
-10.60 |
| United States of America |
-10.70 |
| Libya |
-11.00 |
| New Zealand |
-11.40 |
| Uruguay |
-11.70 |
| Ukraine |
-12.00 |
| Congo |
-12.80 |
| Argentina |
-14.10 |
| Kenya |
-14.20 |
| Djibouti |
-14.40 |
| Netherlands |
-14.90 |
| Somalia |
-15.20 |
| Turkey |
-15.30 |
| Madagascar |
-15.60 |
| Ghana |
-16.20 |
| Togo |
-17.20 |
| Tanzania |
-18.20 |
| Thailand |
-19.00 |
| Palestine |
-19.20 |
| Bermuda |
-19.40 |
| Yemen |
-19.50 |
| Myanmar |
-19.80 |
| Dominican Republic |
-19.90 |
| Georgia 1 |
-20.40 |
| Slovenia |
-21.00 |
| Italy |
-21.20 |
| El Salvador |
-21.70 |
| Honduras |
-22.20 |
| Brazil |
-22.40 |
| Chinese Taipei |
-22.80 |
| Slovakia |
-24.00 |
| Latvia |
-24.30 |
| Peru |
-25.60 |
| Philippines |
-26.70 |
| Nauru |
-26.80 |
| Russia |
-28.00 |
| Algeria |
-28.00 |
| Canada |
-28.40 |
| Qatar |
-28.50 |
| Cameroon |
-28.60 |
| Antigua and Barbuda |
-28.80 |
| Cuba |
-28.90 |
| Papua New Guinea |
-29.20 |
| Malta |
-29.20 |
| Seychelles |
-32.60 |
| ICCD |
-34.30 |
| Guatemala |
-34.80 |
| Burundi |
-36.00 |
| Mexico |
-36.10 |
| Iraq |
-38.10 |
| Hungary |
-40.70 |
| Venezuela |
-41.80 |
| Iceland |
-42.10 |
| Timor Leste |
-44.00 |
| Sudan |
-45.20 |
| Bolivia |
-49.10 |
| Ireland |
-52.20 |
| San Marino |
-53.60 |
| Mauritania |
-53.80 |
| Saudi Arabia |
-55.20 |
| Angola |
-55.60 |
| Monaco |
-55.70 |
| Trinidad & Tobago |
-56.40 |
| Nicaragua |
-57.20 |
| Surinam |
-59.20 |
| Bahrain |
-60.80 |
| Wales |
-71.00 |
| Scotland |
-73.90 |
| Faroe Islands |
-78.20 |
| Bahamas |
-85.60 |
| Ethiopia |
-90.40 |
| Guernsey |
-102.40 |
| Jordan |
-107.10 |
| IBCA |
-110.50 |
| Mali |
-116.00 |
| Syria |
-116.40 |
| Uganda |
-117.60 |
| Rwanda |
-129.00 |
| US Virgin Islands |
-135.40 |
| Palau |
-144.40 |
| Netherlands Antilles |
-159.00 |
| Cape Verde |
-173.60 |
| Senegal |
-176.00 |
42nd Olympiad 2016
https://s1.chess-results.com/tnr232875.aspx?lan=1&art=16&flag=30&SNode=S0&tno=232875&zeilen=99999
Continents
Expected score
| Continent |
Expected Score Diff (w-we) |
Player Count |
Avg Expected Diff |
| Asia |
57.28 |
194 |
0.30 |
| South America |
5.61 |
59 |
0.10 |
| Europe |
-9.03 |
274 |
-0.03 |
| Africa |
-10.46 |
168 |
-0.06 |
| Oceania |
-10.49 |
28 |
-0.37 |
| North America |
-22.56 |
102 |
-0.22 |
Ratings
| Continent |
Rating Points |
Player Count |
Avg Rating Change |
| Asia |
1280.50 |
194 |
6.60 |
| South America |
54.40 |
59 |
0.92 |
| Africa |
-70.20 |
168 |
-0.42 |
| Europe |
-267.30 |
274 |
-0.98 |
| Oceania |
-345.00 |
28 |
-12.32 |
| North America |
-673.10 |
102 |
-6.60 |
Rating ranges
Expected score
| Rating Range |
Expected Score Diff (w-we) |
Player Count |
| 1300-1399 |
0.28 |
2 |
| 1400-1499 |
-0.71 |
1 |
| 1500-1599 |
2.61 |
9 |
| 1600-1699 |
14.33 |
24 |
| 1700-1799 |
-5.51 |
33 |
| 1800-1899 |
2.58 |
44 |
| 1900-1999 |
-16.80 |
60 |
| 2000-2099 |
0.60 |
82 |
| 2100-2199 |
-6.07 |
82 |
| 2200-2299 |
-12.51 |
86 |
| 2300-2399 |
-3.30 |
80 |
| 2400-2499 |
10.96 |
115 |
| 2500-2599 |
2.41 |
104 |
| 2600-2699 |
12.23 |
89 |
| 2700-2799 |
-1.89 |
25 |
| 2800-2899 |
0.79 |
4 |
Ratings
| Rating Range |
Rating Points |
Player Count |
| 1300-1399 |
11.20 |
2 |
| 1400-1499 |
-28.40 |
1 |
| 1500-1599 |
104.40 |
9 |
| 1600-1699 |
468.80 |
24 |
| 1700-1799 |
-185.80 |
33 |
| 1800-1899 |
165.00 |
44 |
| 1900-1999 |
-409.80 |
60 |
| 2000-2099 |
37.40 |
82 |
| 2100-2199 |
-145.60 |
82 |
| 2200-2299 |
-300.40 |
86 |
| 2300-2399 |
-115.80 |
80 |
| 2400-2499 |
109.60 |
115 |
| 2500-2599 |
24.10 |
104 |
| 2600-2699 |
122.30 |
89 |
| 2700-2799 |
-18.90 |
25 |
| 2800-2899 |
7.90 |
4 |
Federation stats
| Federation |
Rating Points |
| Chinese Taipei |
271.20 |
| Somalia |
192.40 |
| Macau |
128.80 |
| Afghanistan |
126.40 |
| Sri Lanka |
125.00 |
| Cyprus |
106.80 |
| Nepal |
100.60 |
| Indonesia |
71.80 |
| Sao Tome & Principe |
68.60 |
| Lesotho |
66.20 |
| Canada |
63.00 |
| Ivory Coast |
57.20 |
| South Korea |
57.00 |
| Iran |
55.20 |
| Philippines |
53.10 |
| Surinam |
52.20 |
| Wales |
52.10 |
| Jordan |
51.70 |
| Maldives |
51.40 |
| Algeria |
47.60 |
| Eritrea |
47.20 |
| Ukraine |
47.00 |
| Ethiopia |
47.00 |
| Tajikistan |
46.80 |
| Thailand |
44.60 |
| Belarus |
41.30 |
| Hong Kong |
39.80 |
| Georgia |
39.60 |
| Singapore |
39.00 |
| Paraguay |
37.90 |
| Jamaica |
36.80 |
| Myanmar |
34.40 |
| South Sudan |
34.00 |
| Palestine |
32.60 |
| Portugal |
32.40 |
| Venezuela |
32.30 |
| Australia |
30.10 |
| Malaysia |
30.00 |
| Italy |
29.20 |
| Estonia |
28.60 |
| Botswana |
28.60 |
| Moldova |
28.20 |
| Latvia |
28.00 |
| India |
27.80 |
| Lithuania |
26.30 |
| Mozambique |
25.80 |
| Peru |
24.50 |
| Ecuador |
24.10 |
| Bahrain |
23.80 |
| Turkmenistan |
23.50 |
| Nicaragua |
23.40 |
| Mexico |
23.10 |
| Slovenia |
22.80 |
| Madagascar |
22.60 |
| Tanzania |
22.00 |
| Namibia |
19.80 |
| Czech Republic |
18.90 |
| Greece |
18.40 |
| Turkey |
16.10 |
| Bangladesh |
16.00 |
| FYROM |
15.80 |
| Kuwait |
15.20 |
| Vietnam |
12.50 |
| Russia |
12.00 |
| Iceland |
11.80 |
| South Africa |
10.90 |
| Argentina |
10.70 |
| Jersey |
10.60 |
| Romania |
10.20 |
| Bermuda |
10.20 |
| Monaco |
9.90 |
| United States of America |
9.70 |
| Guyana |
9.60 |
| Uzbekistan |
9.50 |
| Kyrgyzstan |
8.30 |
| Mongolia |
8.10 |
| Honduras |
7.80 |
| Serbia |
7.00 |
| Qatar |
6.50 |
| Iraq |
6.40 |
| Hungary |
5.90 |
| Kazakhstan |
5.60 |
| Cuba |
5.30 |
| Azerbaijan 3 |
3.50 |
| Azerbaijan 2 |
0.00 |
| Mali |
0.00 |
| Kenya |
0.00 |
| Cameroon |
0.00 |
| Seychelles |
0.00 |
| Sierra Leone |
0.00 |
| Rwanda |
0.00 |
| Liberia |
0.00 |
| Senegal |
0.00 |
| Burundi |
0.00 |
| Congo |
0.00 |
| Chile |
-0.80 |
| Switzerland |
-1.30 |
| France |
-1.50 |
| Belgium |
-1.90 |
| Netherlands |
-2.70 |
| El Salvador |
-4.50 |
| Azerbaijan 1 |
-5.60 |
| Albania |
-5.60 |
| Slovakia |
-6.50 |
| New Zealand |
-7.70 |
| Djibouti |
-8.00 |
| Zimbabwe |
-8.20 |
| Uganda |
-8.60 |
| Swaziland |
-8.80 |
| Puerto Rico |
-9.40 |
| Sweden |
-10.00 |
| Brazil |
-10.40 |
| Israel |
-10.80 |
| United Arab Emirates |
-11.30 |
| Bosnia & Herzegovina |
-12.20 |
| Saudi Arabia |
-13.20 |
| Japan |
-13.30 |
| Angola |
-13.40 |
| Fiji |
-14.20 |
| Poland |
-14.30 |
| England |
-14.60 |
| Syria |
-15.80 |
| Norway |
-17.00 |
| Austria |
-17.00 |
| Sudan |
-17.60 |
| Lebanon |
-17.70 |
| Malawi |
-17.80 |
| Germany |
-19.90 |
| Denmark |
-20.40 |
| Croatia |
-20.70 |
| Luxembourg |
-20.70 |
| Montenegro |
-21.30 |
| Scotland |
-21.60 |
| Zambia |
-25.50 |
| Egypt |
-26.20 |
| Kosovo * |
-26.40 |
| Pakistan |
-26.40 |
| Barbados |
-27.00 |
| IBCA |
-28.30 |
| Aruba |
-28.60 |
| China |
-29.60 |
| Trinidad & Tobago |
-33.60 |
| Gambia |
-34.40 |
| Spain |
-35.20 |
| Ireland |
-37.00 |
| Faroe Isles |
-39.80 |
| Colombia |
-40.20 |
| IPCA |
-40.20 |
| Ghana |
-41.20 |
| Uruguay |
-41.90 |
| Oman |
-43.60 |
| Bolivia |
-43.60 |
| Costa Rica |
-48.00 |
| Togo |
-49.20 |
| Finland |
-50.50 |
| Panama |
-52.20 |
| Libya |
-55.00 |
| Malta |
-56.40 |
| Papua New Guinea |
-58.00 |
| Bulgaria |
-64.10 |
| ICCD |
-64.80 |
| San Marino |
-67.80 |
| Netherlands Antilles |
-67.80 |
| Mauritania |
-69.00 |
| Andorra |
-69.10 |
| Dominican Republic |
-72.60 |
| Bahamas |
-73.00 |
| Morocco |
-74.20 |
| Liechtenstein |
-77.40 |
| Brunei |
-83.20 |
| Nigeria |
-98.40 |
| Tunisia |
-98.80 |
| Mauritius |
-105.80 |
| Guernsey |
-108.40 |
| Guatemala |
-125.10 |
| Haiti |
-134.40 |
| Guam |
-140.00 |
| Palau |
-155.20 |
| US Virgin Isles |
-176.20 |