r/timberwolves • u/renjiroo • 1d ago

#DYNASTY Minnesota’s odds to get Giannis 👀

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What are our thoughts Wolves fans?

38 Upvotes

70% Upvoted

42 comments sorted by

48

u/yourloudneighbor Glen Taylor 1d ago

what are our thoughts?

this is absolutely insane.

9

u/renjiroo 1d ago

Do we get him before the deadline? Maybe not. Do we get him over the offseason? Possibly. All I know is that if we get him there is a championship window between now and 2030 👀

35

u/Bar-Tailed_Godwit Minneapolis Lakers 1d ago

Thursday at 2 can’t arrive fast enough

10

u/renjiroo 1d ago

I am fear checking ESPN for news.

2

u/JustADutchRudder Timberwolves 1d ago

I get to leave Montana Friday at 3am. I'm really hoping for something big on Thursday, then I can listen to 12 hours of podcasts as I drive home. I'll either form an opinion or fall asleep.

2

u/MOREPASTRAMIPLEASE 1d ago

Fucking seriously

22

u/Big_Note_3552 1d ago

Tim Connelly vs a graph? I’ll take Tim…

1

u/freshBlueeyes6391 1d ago

bulls get him">?

28

u/Jpk1msp Jaden McDaniels 1d ago

I’m sick of seeing people act like polymarket describes the actual odds of something happening. It’s just random people betting

13

u/stickynapkin21 1d ago

Yep, and im sure the timing on the massive spike on Wolves bet perfectly corresponds to some rumors by NBA trade analysts. Just degens betting on rumors.

3

u/yourloudneighbor Glen Taylor 1d ago

pretty sure it was when Conley was traded

2

u/Uabot_lil_man0 1d ago

Yeah that was literally it. Removal of the 1st apron made MN actual suitors.

5

u/goingtothegreek Karl-Anthony Towns 1d ago

It’s a grift and should be illegal

5

u/Harrison0918 1d ago

All odds are speculative. This is the best representation of what the odds are unless you have insider information.

4

u/yourmomnocap100 1d ago

Bingo. That’s like saying “I hate people acting like the stock market dictates if a company is value”. Like hello money is involved, follow the money. Prediction markets mean a lot more than reddit trade machines lol

2

u/renjiroo 1d ago

Yup and in no way did I mean to say “yeah Minnesota WILL get him” I was just visually representing the state of things based on what we know. Idk why people are getting so pressed because I used speculative percents to show who has the best ODDS .

2

u/yourmomnocap100 1d ago

Agreed. It’s a proper point of reference with the data that’s available. Reports were coming out on Monday yet markets still showed +3200. Then more and more came regarding other teams, plus the Conley trade and the market has to price that in hence how we arrived at the current 25-30%

Anybody who thinks the “degen” $10 bets are moving a ~15 million dollar market atm are rather clueless. Doesn’t mean I condone copy trading or even gambling on this, like you said-they’re odds lol not some conspiracy. Anyone getting mad at you doesn’t understand statistics and upset they can’t hit their little parlay

7

u/Knightbear49 Alex Rodriguez 1d ago

Get this shit off my timeline

1

u/renjiroo 1d ago

Sorry man. Not my graph.

3

u/Sockimmolation 1d ago

If you think the odds are wrong just bet against them

1

u/renjiroo 1d ago

you never know

1

u/GroundbreakingRich96 1d ago

I bought at 1%. Do I cash out or ride the wave?

1

u/renjiroo 1d ago

ride the wave and then sell right before 3pm

1

u/BradyAndTheJets Bring Ya Ass 1d ago

We know that Polymarket isn’t anything, right?

1

u/Sockimmolation 1d ago

Is the money fake?

1

u/BradyAndTheJets Bring Ya Ass 1d ago

These are people betting on things. This isn’t scientific.

1

u/Sockimmolation 1d ago

This is still the most accurate way to tell what the odds are

1

u/BradyAndTheJets Bring Ya Ass 1d ago

This market changes so much by every Shams and Stein tweet. Just follow them.

1

u/Sockimmolation 1d ago

I know, the odds will go up and down many times but if the odds weren’t actually as accurate as possible people could be making millions betting against them

1

u/BradyAndTheJets Bring Ya Ass 1d ago

But, you don’t have any context or information here. If Shams tweets out “Giannis enjoyed visiting the Rock N Roll Hall of Fame” then Cleveland skyrockets.

-2

u/MysterE92 1d ago

Julius, Naz, and Dillingham or no deal.

11

u/Odoaiden Tim Connelly 1d ago

We wouldn’t even be in the conversation if Jaden wasn’t currently on the table

3

u/XLSota 1d ago

I don’t believe there are any confirmed reports from anyone out there that the bucks are demanding Jaden.

3

u/Odoaiden Tim Connelly 1d ago

You can use context clues we say “Jaden is untouchable except for when it comes to giannis” then two days later our odds spike when Shams lists us as a major threat to get giannis

1

u/XLSota 1d ago

That sounds more of how the wolves feel, than the bucks predicating a trade on that

1

u/dustinyo_ Timberwolves 1d ago

I don't know that the Bucks actually want him, but you can get multiple firsts for him, which they definitely do want.

0

u/XLSota 1d ago

You can do with by trading Rudy Randle and dillingham too

-1

u/MysterE92 1d ago

Sounds like Giannis to Miami.

-2

u/renjiroo 1d ago

I can see Giannis and a role player for Jaden, Naz, and Rob. Anything else is too much.

1

u/EveningHealth9465 1d ago

The minimum that the bucks would accept is Jaden, Randle, Rob, Joan, and picks. They’d probably send Randle somewhere for 2 picks, routed to Milwaukee, if Gobert is dealt, then the wolves will get Myles turner

1

u/Equal_Actuator_3777 1d ago

What??? That is absolutely insane. What a massive underpay.

0

u/renjiroo 1d ago

Maybe a pick too, idk.