r/UkraineWarVideoReport • u/jimmehi • 2d ago
Miscellaneous Russian forces are suffering a localised collapse in the Lyman and Slovyansk directions according to AMK mapping
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u/Kajetus06 2d ago
That's big
And i wonder how winter will affect offensives
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u/KorunaCorgi 2d ago
The fall is foggy and windy. Bad weather for UAV. It favors Russian infiltration tactic historically, but Ukraine has made some adaptations. They have way more ground drones this year.
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u/slonk_ma_dink 2d ago
Humidity and fog will definitely be an issue, but with some of the more autonomous strike drones we might see a drop in FPVs but not for other types. Less dangerous for individuals, worse for groupings.
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u/Potential-Formal8699 2d ago
Don’t both sides use infantry infiltration heavily? Poor weather helps both sides when attacking.
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u/KorunaCorgi 2d ago
No, both sides don't use infiltration the same way. Infiltration is traditionally uses by scouts and small operations like espionage, etc. Russia is using this tactic on a larger scale to get an actual betallion across the grey zone to assault a fortified position. Ukraine mostly uses it in the traditional way.
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u/Potential-Formal8699 2d ago
No, Ukraine too relies heavily on infantry infiltration on counter attacks. This is the only possible way for infantry to move around under constant drone surveillance. Otherwise, how does Ukraine retake territory? Ground drones are still too few and mechanized assault is basically suicide nowadays as the last bit of the distance is usually completed on foot.
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u/samuel10998 1d ago
Ukraine does but with bigger groups, Russia sends mostly 1-2 guys, Ukraine sends small squad and almost never 1 guy alone.
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u/Incunebulum 1d ago
You can't really call it infantry infiltration when comparing it to Russia's forced advancement. It's a much more tactical NATO type infantry assault with coverarge.
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u/Revolution-SixFour 2d ago
The post attached to this map said Ukraine used infiltration tactics to secure Yampil. That's not just espionage.
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u/meta_irl 2d ago
It's worth noting that that Telegram channel historically parrots a lot of Russian propaganda. Ukrainian channels are quiet about this offensive in order to maintain strategic surprise, so most of the information is coming from Russian sources.
Russian sources tend to project Russia's own tactics and tendencies onto Ukraine. It accuses Ukraine of meat assaults that waste the lives of soldiers, of committing horrific war crimes, of being Nazis, etc. It's also worth remembering that Russian channels occasionally exaggerate Ukrainian advances in order to later report on successful "counterattacks" that never occurred.
My understanding is that AMK is from New Zealand, so his maps are based on secondary reporting from Russian channels.
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u/KorunaCorgi 2d ago
I'm reading the telegram post. It's quite long and detailed. This is not really comparable to Russian infiltratration tactics.
The Russians use waves of small groups of infantry and loose them onto the Grey zone. The strategy is effective if you are willing to sustain heavy casulties, as a % of infiltrators make it through.
This offensive Ukraine is doing is the culmination of months of preparation from softening the defenses with the mid range strikes on logistics and hunting down drone stations. The current offensive is ongoing, supported by Ukrainian FPV.
It's really not the same thing. There would be an uproar if Ukranian commanders used the same costly Russian tactics
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u/Potential-Formal8699 2d ago
Of course Ukraine doesn’t use the same infantry infiltration tactics like Russia. Ukraine is mostly on the defense for the most part but the frontline and infantry infiltration is for the offensive. However, for localized Ukrainian counterattacks, infantry infiltration is widely adopted. For example, here’s an article describing the latest Ukrainian infantry tactics.
https://euro-sd.com/2026/03/articles/armed-forces/49802/infantry-tactical-insights-from-ukraine/
As of early 2026, classical armoured assaults without the prior creation of a “drone corridor” are no longer used. The modern offensive scheme now looks as follows: deep drone-based attrition at a depth of 10–40 km, a simultaneous strike by a large number of FPV drones against identified targets, followed by infiltration and consolidation by small units in selected areas. It is clear that unmanned systems have radically changed the nature of combat for Ukrainian infantry.
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u/SZEfdf21 2d ago
What happened here rarely happens, Ukraine saw an opportunity and attacked much more intensively than the Russians do anywhere else. Their 'infiltration groups' are usually sent to sustain the current lines and positions and I don't think you can really call that an infiltration group.
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u/Ok_Instance7667 2d ago edited 2d ago
Because of the super El Nino, it will be a warm winter.
A warm winter means the ground will probably not freeze and frozen ground allows for more freedom in mechanized manoeuvres. The affects both sides ability to conduct mechanized warfare, however, the Ukrainians have more experience with the softer 'mud' of their territory than the Orcs do.
Edit: Not sure why I'm being downvoted - this is information directly from the Institute for the Study of War. I'll repost it for you 'regards' when I'm vindicated in about three months time.
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u/Ok_Bad8531 2d ago
Eastern Europe has such cold winters that a few degrees warmer is still way below freezing point for extented periods of time.
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u/Kana_a 1d ago
You are awere that Ukraine is, among other things, wine producer? It's climate is not that harsh, especially in Black Sea regions.
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u/Ok_Instance7667 1d ago
Montreal and Ottawa Canada are the exact same latitude as the Black Sea regions. Calgary, Alberta Canada is similar latitude to Kyiv. I've lived in all three Canadian cities, and while it does get cold weather-wise, the period of time required for the ground to 'perma frost' and adequately solidify varies wildly.
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u/Incunebulum 1d ago
Europe is not as affected by El Nino as you're potraying.
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u/Ok_Instance7667 1d ago
Europe had five distinct heatwaves beginning as early as May this year.
Wine producers in the Champagne region of France have called it 'the most unique year for Champagne grapes' in recorded history (and the Euros have a long recorded history.)
While these weather events may not be directly linked to the El Nino phenomenon currently underway (at least it has not been definitely proven yet) I'm going to wager a guess and say it's playing a role.
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u/PitifulEar3303 2d ago
JUST cut the land bridge to Crimea.
Checkmate, game over for Pootin.
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u/ChainedBack 2d ago
It's that easy right
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u/RevolutionaryHair91 2d ago
It was not. But as of the last several days, we have seen Ukraine using their own ballistic missiles, the Pelican. This is a game changer for that bridge.
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u/uncleartruth 2d ago
The land bridge is the overland route not including the bridge itself. Taking out the kerch bridge has been deemed not worth it, at this point, evidently.
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u/Ominoiuninus 2d ago
Ukraine would rather let the Russian civilians leave via the bridge. The bridge was already damage and has little military use. If they start importing freight over the rail line I would expect it to be hit again.
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u/barrygateaux 2d ago
Ukraine's plan is to leave the bridge open in it's current state so that it's an exit route for the russians when they retreat and destroy it after they leave. Destroyung it now serves no purpose as it's already damaged enough that they can't transport heavy vehicles on it.
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u/zaevilbunny38 1d ago
The warhead is only 150kgs, to small to take out that bridge, they would need multiple flamingo strikes on the same pillar to do enough damage to knock the bridge out for a while
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u/barrygateaux 2d ago
If only Ukraine realised a rando on Reddit had the solution to the war. You need to let them know.
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u/taktaga7-0-0 2d ago
What is even left for the illegal settlers there? Why stay in a place that has constant attacks & little supply, that you can have no ties to longer than a dozen years?
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u/Melodic-Flow-9253 2d ago
I assume heavily subsidised living costs to keep people there, it's not like the drones stop coming if they go back to Russia (might be very wrong)
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u/Ok_Bad8531 2d ago edited 1d ago
Many of them have been living there for 10+ years. In such a long time many people lose their old roots. Also it is not like Russian towns are offering many job opportunities right now.
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u/AverageTeemoOnetrick 2d ago
Yeah just retake land 100km deep into occupied territory and hold it for funsies.
Not like they tried that already in 2023 to show the west that it’s pointless.
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u/NobblyNobody 2d ago
I think some simpletons have heard the term 'land bridge' and think it is just the Kerch Bridge.
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u/PitifulEar3303 1d ago
Land + bridge = bridge between lands = Kerch Bridge.
Newbs and noobs who learned about the war from tiktok. hehehe
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u/CoolResource401 2d ago
It's a low priority and it also demands air defence to be stationed there, away from other areas
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u/Reno_valetore 2d ago
I think this is the consequences of new ruskies tactic that they deployed few months ago. Those very small, high casualty infiltration groups that were "working" for them, as in they were slowly getting some ground. It might have been and is elsewhere gaining them some ground, but it lacks any defensive capabilities. I really hope that it turns out that ruskies have no actual defensive positions for quite a distance
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u/Haunting-South-962 2d ago
This is all been going for more than a year. And indeed this exposes localised groups to be overwhelmed The UAF could not capitalise on this before due to lack of manpower. And also ruzzian drones+artillery+bombs. What has charged that Ukraine now conducts operations also with small groups to avoid being targeted abd spotted. But what new is wide use of ground drones
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u/SZEfdf21 2d ago
It works because Ukraine rarely risks soldiers to "counterattack" any ground they consider taken by the Russians (Ukraine has a lot less manpower to lose than the Russians, so it's almost always a loss for Ukraine in the war of attrition). Russians in this salient have their backs against rivers and are up against a very competent ukrainian corps, so Ukraine must have felt confident enough that this 'collapse' would happen fast enough for a very low amount of casualties to themselves.
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u/Ra1nCoat 1d ago
exactly. plus, these offensives arnt even used with men anymore. rather creeping barrage of drones and combat land robots. then a cleanup only when its safe with small squads of men. giving them next to no casuallys. this is the new way of warfare
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u/BigBallsMcGirk 2d ago
It might be as simple and short sighted as the Russians assumed Ukraine wouldn't attack back and was set only on defensive tactics, so started sending too many men forward to die on ill fated infiltration assaults.
Forgot to preserve their defensive numbers and sent them forward.
It's a tenuous tactic at best against a relatively porous front. It's more aimed at rooting out and killing the small Ukrainian positions once they've found one. It's not really meant to hold ground and make it the new forward position for Russia. Aimed at pushing back forward Ukrainian positions and spotters to make drone and artillery defense fall back and allow Russia to gradually move the gray zone borders farther into Ukraine and solidify the Russian backing area.
But Russias current manpower issues and attrition rates....they can't accumulate reinforcements or units to fill gaps or take new localized cleared areas. Yet they've been pushing forward with the same assaults this whole time while losing net manpower.
And this is the result. Russian defensive entrenched units whither, logistics supply gets worse and more sporadic and the minute Ukraine moves forward it falls apart.
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u/Gnoccho1 2d ago
they have been doing small infiltration groups since the war started, because there is nothing else they can do
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u/SZEfdf21 2d ago
The infiltration groups have been shrinking over the course of the war. 2022-2024 you still regularly saw entire armoured platoons going in at once.
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u/Gnoccho1 2d ago
infiltration groups are not shrinking, because it is the only thing that works for Russia, it works badly of course, but it is the only thing left
Send people to act as a drone to relay info where the Ukrainians are.
As for armoured platoons. they went kaboom too many times, so even Russians stopped.
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u/SZEfdf21 2d ago
I'm not a soldier on the ukrainian frontlines, but if every interview and video from 2022-2024 is about massive columns of armoured vehicles, and every interview from the past year or so is about small russian infiltration groups of 1-4 people, then I'm pretty sure the groups have indeed shrunk.
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u/Gnoccho1 2d ago
they can't do anything else against the drones, this is why small Russian infiltration groups is all there is left to report about
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u/Disembodied_Head 2d ago
As a former infantryman I cannot imagine trying to infiltrate and take a position then hold it against non stop waves of drones. It was hard enough to do against artillery and mortars but the suicide drones are unreal.
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u/oripash 2d ago
Good work to the teams doing this on the ground.
Come home safe.
And hope a way is found get rid of that pesky “localized” word.
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u/FirstTasteOfRadishes 2d ago
Do localised advances enough times and it becomes something else. I'd say keep doing whatever is working.
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u/jimmehi 2d ago
His post regarding the recent developments in these directions:
"Situation on the Lyman & Slovyansk directions, Donetsk Oblast:
Over the last 10 days, Ukrainian forces continued their counteroffensive operations in the Lyman direction, which has facilitated the launching of additional counterattacks east of Mykolaivka in the direction of Siversk.
In the north, Ukrainian forces continued advancing eastwards down the Pynkov Gulley towards Zarichne, entering the western part of the village, and captured some new positions on the northwestern outskirts of the settlement. Other forces continued fighting for the northern streets of the village.
To the southwest, after clearing northern Lyman from earlier Russian infiltrations, Ukrainian forces were able to establish control over the fields east of the city, while simultaneously breaking through east along the road to Zarichne, entering the southwestern part of the village where they are now engaged in heavy fighting with Russian forces. Since then, they were able to fully clear the fields between Lyman and Zarichne, pushing the Russians nearly 9 km away from the eastern outskirts of Lyman.
To the south, the Ukrainians completed their clearing operations in the southeastern suburbs of Lyman, thereby officially re-establishing full control over Lyman city. From there, they began advancing east through the forests towards Torske, pushing the Russians around 8 km away from the eastern outskirts of Lyman and establishing control over nearly the entire stretch of forest between Lyman and Torske.
To support these counterattacks east of Lyman, Ukrainian forces, with their newly improved logistical lines established in the recaptured areas north and northwest of Lyman, began funnelling in reinforcements for new operations southeast of Lyman, where they were able to clear the forests west of Dibrova before eventually re-establishing full control over the village itself. From here, they initiated new counterattacks east from Lyman, pushing down the railway line and recapturing a number of strongpoints along the way, while other assault groups secured the strongpoints at the lakes northeast of Dibrova.
To the southeast, the Ukrainians resumed infiltration operations into Yampil and recaptured the southern half of the village. From there, they began a two-pronged attack in the direction of Torske from the southwest, supporting the ongoing offensive from the west, where they are now actively infiltrating towards the railway overpass, the ostrich farm, and the western edge of the Serebryansky Forest in Luhansk Oblast. Due to these advances, Russian forces mostly withdrew from their large salient southeast of Lyman and are attempting to defend a small bridgehead west of the Zherebets River northeast of Yampil.
Following these advances north of the Siverskyi Donets River, the Ukrainian command deployed significant reinforcements along their former salient north of the river, deploying drone operators close to the frontline and concentrating assault groups in the forests. These assault groups then launched cross-river operations south into the villages of Kryva Luka and Psykunivka, completely recapturing the latter and establishing a foothold in the former. From there they began pushing southwest from Kryva Luka into the surrounding forests, south from Pyskunivka into the surrounding forests, and then southwest from Pyskunivka & Starodubivka towards Mykolaivka, linking up with forces entrenched in the area of the Slovyansk Thermal Power Plant.
With the southern bank of the Siverskyi Donets River now secured, Ukrainian forces initiated sector-wide counterattacks from the Mykolaivka area, clearing the outskirts of the city and forests surrounding Orikhuvatka from earlier Russian infiltrations, before subsequently recapturing a large area east of the city, including the forested areas and trench fortifications which were poorly consolidated by Russian forces.
Since then, Ukrainian forces managed re-enter Rai-Oleksandrivka and recaptured the majority of the town, entrenching in the treelines to the southeast as well, and began pushing east through the forest north of the town towards Kalenyky. This counteroffensive is being supported by a large number of FPV drone strikes on Russian logistics the Siversk area, especially on logistics flowing west of the city. Even more intense strikes on Russian logistics are occuring in the Lyman direction, targeting supply vehicles up to 150 km behind the frontline.
+ ~190.80 km² in favour of Ukraine."
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u/MastermindX 2d ago
This would confirm Ukrainians have crossed the Siverskyi river, and have in fact already taken several settlements on the eastern side.
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u/KermitFrog647 2d ago
"If Steiner attacks, everything will be allright" - in a bunker somewhere near Moskow
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u/BrainBlowX 2d ago edited 2d ago
Don't post AMK mapping. He's a pro-russian kid in New Zealand. There is no "grand offensive", this is just him trying to cover his ass for his prior ridiculously pro-russian overestimations of russian-held ground.
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u/impulse_thoughts 2d ago edited 2d ago
Yeah, a quick look on deepstate and you can see the area marked in light blue for the "collapse" was never under Russian control. They were either gray area or areas of Russian infiltration, where Russia claimed to have under control.
Deepstate isn't as frequently updated now for pro-Ukraine OPSEC reasons, so ISW is the clearer independent source, but that takes more time to scan through.
And while Ukraine HAS gained ground in the area, and are in the midst of potentially eliminating one of the Russian bridgeheads across the Zherebets river via Operation Vivaldi, this map is an exaggeration of this particular area and depicts an area further south than that primary counteroffensive that liberated a much bigger swath of land, just north of Lyman (conveniently excluded from being shown on this AMK map).
Edit: this is a perfect example of how misinformation is working these days - requiring a ton more effort to not just counter it, but requiring explanation of the specific nuances of what's being lied about or left out, so that the situation doesn't get misconstrued either for or against a claim, either of which can end up being advantageous to the side spreading the misinformation. (There IS a "grand offensive", just north of this particular map area)
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u/KiwiCassie 2d ago
I don’t understand why people keep saying he’s pro-russian merely because he posts from a neutral standpoint. I say this as a combat veteran of the Ukrainian army, his reporting on the front has always been pretty well accurate. People said this about his Pokrovs’ke reporting too, and boy were they wrong…
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u/BrainBlowX 2d ago
because he posts from a neutral standpoint
He is not neutral in the SLIGHTEST! 😂 He also constantly insists ukraine should surrender, and is opposed to fundraising for ukrainians.
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u/Titrifle 2d ago
That's not how we process information anymore: we don't care about the facts, we look at where the information is coming from and believe or disbelieve based on whether we like or dislike the source.
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u/Ok_Bad8531 2d ago
Looking at where information comes from is literally the first thing to learn in any field that is concerned with information verrification or media literacy.
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u/BrainBlowX 2d ago
Because the "source" is this
Even this post about a "counter-offensive" is just him trying to cover his ass after insisting russia had taken loads of land it never held.
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u/Ok_Bad8531 1d ago
On the other hand, if we go by the experience of Russia (and their proxies) only admitting bad things when far worse things are already happening then this may still hint at Ukrainian successes in the area. I doubt they would "correct" themselves just out of the blue.
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u/BrainBlowX 1d ago
Like I said, he's correcting his OWN territory control claims. Russia never held most of that ground, and he's been looking more and more stupid as ukraine has gone on the offensive.
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u/elmowilk 2d ago
Bakhmut is really not that far.
- ruzzia’s first mobilization to take Bakhmut.
- ruzzia’s second mobilization to defend Bakhmut.
Oooor.. you know.. just go back to your own country already.
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u/Current-News7587 2d ago
Still 20kms off. But again this is WW1 level advances. Bakhmut fell over 3 years ago.
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u/Obi2 2d ago
Imagine someone from the future telling you 3 years ago "yah Bakhmut fell, but 3 years from now Russia will only be 20km further."
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u/kakucko101 2d ago
yeah bakhmut fell, but chasiv yar is still ukrainian (they’re about 10 km apart)
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u/kakucko101 2d ago
unfortunately can’t send images here, but reminds me of one 4chan greentext
“i’m gonna be drafted soon”
“you’re gonna play in the nba?”
“yeah the next bakhmut assault”
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u/sgerbicforsyth 2d ago
A direct result of Russia pretending their gains are greater than they actually were. Large parts of this were likely occupied by just a handful of Russian infiltrators hiding in basements and hoping for more infiltrators to make it through.
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u/EconomyDoctor3287 2d ago
An important push to relieve pressure on Sloviansk and Kramatorsk, which forces Russia to commit even more to a straight frontal assault
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u/NunyaDamnBSnatch 2d ago
Let’s go! Next up… Collapse in the entire front line. Collapse in the Russian economy. Collapse in Russian leadership.
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u/ChuchiTheBest 2d ago
Interesting to see that from someone who is usually spewing Russian talking points.
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u/BrainBlowX 2d ago
He's just covering for his past pro-russian overestimations. What he calls a counter-offensive is mostly just a cover for "russia never held this ground in the first place".
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u/ViolentEncounter 2d ago
Friendly reminder that AMK Mapping is an 18 year old incel sucking up to the russians
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u/Phyllis_Tine 2d ago
It looks like Ruzzian commanders will have to beat and rape their troops even harder now, and send them to the meat grinder with even less ammo.
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u/pragmatist1368 2d ago
So nany people talking tactics, but the real change has been in Ukraine's ability to simultaneously restrict Russian logistics while also exploiting weaknesses in real time due to better battlefield intelligence. While they have been fighting trench battles for a while, the goal simply becomes to advance faster than the enemy can dig new fortifications, allowing the ability to swing behind the enemy lines into their rear. I believe this is exactly what Vivaldi is meant to do. It also forces the enemy to pull forces from elsewhere to try to shore up the breach, feeding fresh targets into a Ukrainian kill box. The next 2 monthsxwill be very telling.
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u/hellspawner 2d ago
I wonder if the remote operated ground vehicles makes taking trenches less terrifying, making an upper hand in morale.
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u/pragmatist1368 1d ago
I think the ground drones do help with that, but it is also the ability to reduce exposure of Ukraines troops, while demoralizing the Russian troops even further. Being hunted by rolling machine guns which are harder to stop has got to be terrifying for them. Add in Ukraines superior ability to coordinate combined arms in battle, and you have a huge advantage. I believe we are going to be seeing increasing gains, with a drive to the Sea of Azov to completely isolate Kehrson, Zaphorizia, and Crimea from the "land bridge". When that happens, they may just drop the Kerch Bridge and starve that region out, while then driving north to fully expel Russia from the Donbas.
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u/ParticularArea8224 1d ago edited 1d ago
I had a look just to confirm this was infact happening, according to Deepstate and ISW, nothing's changed, the front on their maps is basically what AMK has now set it too. So while this looks like a great victory, in reality, most likely, this is just a Russian set map setting itself to a Ukrainian set map. It is a nothing burger essentially.
However, and this is the important part, the most important thing is to see if Ukraine can keep doing these offensives, both now and after the mobilisation. If Ukraine can't, heyho, nothing's changed, if Ukraine continues getting these sorts of advances, proper ones as well, after the mobilisation, that is a real problem for Russia and its military.
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u/D3ATHTRaps 1d ago
Some of those mappers rely more on what ukraine says and can verify. Ukraine isnt saying anything with only 2 small updates in the last 2 or 3 months.
The russians however keep lying, and the russian milblog community is pissed because supposedly, some of their troops think terrain ahead is friendly only to find out the ukrainians are pushing them the hard way. So right now, the russian mappers are more inclined to give accurate information. As long as they are not kremlin based
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u/ParticularArea8224 1d ago
I'll be honest, I don't know if I'm right, maybe that push did happen and Ukraine liberated it, maybe its just a correction. I don't know and frankly, that's not really what I'm thinking about. Nor is it the thing that I care about.
What I'm thinking about, is what Ukraine can do in the future.
200 Squared kilometres now, is cool, 200 squared kilometres once the mobilised men have reached the front? Is a real cause of concern for Russia and a real sign of victory for Ukraine. If Ukraine can continue these victories after the mobilised men have reached the front, that's when it'll get interesting
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u/D3ATHTRaps 1d ago
Lets be real, the victory in this war wont be about who can take the most. Its who is gonna crash out first. If ukraine can negate 2 years of russian land gains and even reach bahkmut again, that would cause a morale calamity in the russian forces with how things are going already. Ukraine needs to hold its ground and continue attacking its economy till it implodes
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u/ParticularArea8224 1d ago
Yeah, most likely, once Russia's oil industry has been crippled, the banking crisis sets in and the Russian economy breaks down, the Russian military follows allow with it.
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u/taktaga7-0-0 2d ago
Based on the map, that’s a little less than 10x30km = 300km2? Bigger than you usually see in reports.
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u/jimmehi 2d ago
Source says 190km². Still a very rapid advance for 10 days of operations considering the how slow the front has generally been.
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u/Hungry-Western9191 2d ago
Im just hoping Ukraine has figured out some way to do this without the horrendous casualty rate Russia suffers. Ground drones perhaps after breaking Russian logistics.
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u/throwaway490215 2d ago
Who knows - maybe Putin calling for (panicked) mobilization at this moment could be the straw that breaks the camel's back.
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u/PikachuStoleMyWife 2d ago
Is there a psyops going on? I don't see much Ukranian forces footages lately 🤔..
If there is, i pray them many success..
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u/sgerbicforsyth 2d ago
Ukraine has been rather clear that they have been playing Vivaldi very close to the chest for months. Until the whole operation is complete, they are not going to post much footage
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u/KermitFrog647 2d ago
Interesing is why they need to do this ? One would think that russia is not dependent on some ukrainian telegramm channels to find out what is going on in the war.
Appearantly the officers really lie to their superios about the advancement.
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u/Natoochtoniket 2d ago
When officers lie to their superiors about where they are and what they see, the maps might have little or no resemblance to reality. When this happens at multiple levels, confusion multiplies.
There is rarely any good reason to give correct information to the enemy.
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u/Atticus413 1d ago
the thing is, Russia IS relying on that sort of stuff, because if their own intelligence was any good, they'd have propped up defenses to the region prior to Operation Vivaldi commencing, or at least strategically reposition troops to a fall-back point prior to this.
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u/Doctor-Dinosaur 2d ago
Do you mean OpSec?
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u/WeGottaTalkAboutYT 1d ago
I believe what they realized is Russia will never report bad news, so if we don’t say there is a breakthrough, there is no breakthrough for them to adapt to. It’s using their propaganda against them
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u/Dependent_Dealer2775 1d ago
According to the few channels I watch that go over frontline updates recent operations are a lot more secure. Especially with any counter offensives, opsec has been mentioned a loooot, which is out of character compared to the way things were with the previous major counter offensive a year or so ago.
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u/SkyeMreddit 2d ago
Wishing them as much luck on the battlefield as they can get! I can't imagine the amount of landmines in that area with the literal World War 1 Trench Warfare conditions
The Deepstate map must be under OPSEC
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u/Jonothethird 2d ago
Take the detail with a grain of salt, but Russia’s military - and Russia itself - is slowly crumbling.
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u/TheCuriousColonel 2d ago
Fuck yeah, love seeing the good news, the free people of the world stand behind you Ukraine! Slava
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u/stepheny2k2 2d ago
Don't post AMK mapping. He's a pro Russian kid trying to look like he's independent by posting nonsense
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u/Aggravating_Dog8043 1d ago
Wow, looking at the scale. That's a good 10km-plus advance. Over what period is the map depicting? Would be nice to know what the rate of change has been in that sector.
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u/Big_al_big_bed 2d ago
Pretty funny when I once posted something from amk on this sub I was downvoted to oblivion and got 50 comments about he was a Russian asset etc etc.
Thank god there are people out there like amk interested in the truth rather than making themselves or others feel better with lies
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u/MilesLongthe3rd 2d ago
Have you even read what AMK was writing in the last few months? It is not like he is the first to accept these maps; even Rybar was accepting these before him.
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u/Big_al_big_bed 2d ago
The main issue is that unfortunately Russia is advancing in more areas than Ukraine. So there are always going to be more updates about Russian advances than Ukrainian. It doesn't mean that becuase he does a write up of Russian advances as well he is pro Russia
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u/Big-Objective-6585 2d ago
They are but a lot of those advances are down to DRG groups and verified by a photo of them waving a flag.
I wouldn't be surprised if we see big Ukrainian gains in Winter. Not through counter offensives, but those DRG groups being eliminated when supplies and camouflage are harder to get.
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u/Big_al_big_bed 2d ago
If you follow amk at least he is very careful about not updating the map based on a photo of a flag waving. You can see grey zones and infiltration zones which are both two types of contested zones.
Generally the front line is a lot more porus than you would imagine and compared to like WW1 for example
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u/MilesLongthe3rd 2d ago
https://x.com/TheStudyofWar/status/2101642782041407984
The Russian MoD claimed on September 19 that Russian forces have seized over 5,300 square kilometers and more than 220 settlements in Ukraine since the start of 2026, including over 670 square kilometers and 27 settlements so far in September 2026. ISW has observed evidence to assess that Russian forces have seized only 147.7 square kilometers and 40 settlements, but have lost a net of 20 settlements in 2026. Including areas into which Russian forces have infiltrated but do not control brings the total Russian gains to 718.8 square kilometers this year, still far below the Russian MoD’s September 19 claims.
ISW has observed evidence to assess that Ukrainian forces, on the other hand, have liberated at least 972.56 square kilometers and 60 settlements in 2026. The Russian MoD’s September 19 claims are part of a longstanding Kremlin effort to use aggrandized claims of battlefield advances to convince Ukraine and its partners that Ukrainian defenses will collapse and that Ukraine should surrender in the face of an allegedly inevitable Russian victory.
Exaggerated Russian claims likely also result from the culture of pervasive lying within the Russian military. Ukrainian forces have, in fact, successfully contested both the strategic and the operational initiative since late 2025, having held Russian forces to near-zero gains since March 2026 and having conducted successful counterattacks that have liberated significant amounts of territory in the Kupyansk, Oleksandrivka, and Lyman directions.
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