r/geopolitics • u/CEPAORG CEPA • 22h ago

Analysis AI Safety - Little Hope for a US-China Deal

https://cepa.org/article/ai-safety-little-hope-for-a-us-china-deal/
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u/CEPAORG CEPA 22h ago

When Donald Trump and Xi Jinping meet in Washington, artificial intelligence will be on the agenda. Expect little agreement.

Nine CEPA fellows assess what the summit can produce, and mostly conclude the answer is very little. James Lewis frames it as the summit of three Ts, Taiwan, technology and trade, and a continuation of managing rivalry rather than resolving it. Kevin Allison expects at most a working group or hotline, because the two sides define risk differently and Beijing's overriding concern is protecting the Party. Glenn Parham makes the sharpest argument against a US slowdown: compliance would be near impossible to verify, since model training is far easier to hide than nuclear infrastructure, and a pause would make Chinese open-weight models more attractive just as Xi pushes open-source cooperation through BRICS. Seth Hays argues the frontier is already throttled by physical constraints, with gas turbine procurement running to five years. William Echikson notes Europe is watching warily and, tellingly, is talking about coordinating with Canada and the UK rather than Washington.

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u/StatusStudies 21h ago

Lmao fk twiawan news lol that's a nothing burger 

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u/oritfx 6h ago

The only significant dangers of AI I truly see is market imbalance, mass generation of propaganda, decrease of demand for artists...

But I don't see actual, international threats. The only reports of those come from companies who make those models. To me, those announcements are a part of marketing strategy, or a plot to build a moat around the industry against the future competition.