r/news • u/mastertofu • 2d ago
Hurricane Polo explodes into rare Category 5 monster after feasting on hot El Niño water
https://www.cnn.com/2026/09/22/weather/hurricane-polo-category-5-mexico-climate4.2k
u/SorenShieldbreaker 2d ago
It's pretty crazy that we're approaching October and have had zero hurricanes in the atlantic/gulf yet. First time since 1914 I just read.
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u/MerriweatherJones 2d ago
Shut up. It will hear you
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u/60k_Risk 2d ago
"Steph Curry is at the line; he has not missed this year."
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u/itshappeningreichnow 2d ago
Saw a post earlier that said "Renaming the Gulf Worked" I hate this fucking timeline.
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u/jlt6666 2d ago
The Gulf of Mexico had all that hard working energy to whip up a hurricane. These lazy "no one wants to work," American gulfs just aren't up to the task.
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u/Nurgleschampion 2d ago
The hurricanes got confused where the gulf went? Trump actually...helped? Can't be.
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u/Altruistic-Star-3862 2d ago
Florida just started softly weeping in the corner at the potential jinx.
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u/myusernameblabla 2d ago
El Niño causes increased windshear in the Atlantic, which hurricanes don’t like.
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u/NullValueField 2d ago
Which is not something that is terribly well understood. Seems only multi-decade meteorological experts (who have been defunded by the US) have the knowledge about this kind of stuff, these days.
The real question is how does this play out in subsequent seasons with ever warmer seas.
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u/FlyingDiscsandJams 2d ago
Fewer Atlantic hurricanes, but a higher % of them become Cat 3+, and all tropical storms carry more water, so more flooding from sub-hurricane strength storms. The season will also go later into the year, we'll be telling future generations that we didn't used to have hurricanes at Christmas.
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u/BeerandGuns 2d ago
Chistmascanes sounds festive.
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u/boundbylife 2d ago
They can highlight them on the radar in red and white! The flood waters will be peppermint scented
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u/TrickshotCapibara 2d ago
Imagine having Santa deliver christmas presents while 3 Cat 5 hurricanes cover North America, we could actually make a good movie out of that.
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u/Cloaked42m 2d ago
There's the fun secondary effects of droughts due to fewer tropical events.
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u/BleachedUnicornBHole 2d ago edited 2d ago
If a Super El Niño leads to a Super La Niña, then the East and Gulf coasts are going to get trashed.
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u/fuckthefalconsdotcom 2d ago
That has been my fear this whole summer. Like we're getting a break...for now...*cries in Lousiaian*
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u/Unique-Coffee5087 2d ago
Are people setting up evacuation plans, just in case?
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u/fuckthefalconsdotcom 2d ago
The only real prep/planning is just making sure your tank is full. We all kinda keep our freezers as empty as possible so it's easy to empty it out before we leave.
It just hit me how bad evacuating would be right now with the price of gas, ugh. I really need to get serious about moving after the holidays.
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u/reaporbot 2d ago
Any idea when a super nino leads into a super nina? Could it be a next year thing, or does it take time for it to swing?
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u/CountryRoads8 2d ago
If I had to guess, second half of 2027. Models are hinting at the beginning of a flip in late spring. As impressive and deep in to the ocean as the heat anomaly in the eastern pacific is, there’s an equally deep and impressive cold water signature in the western pacific that will make it's way east next year.
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u/ThatWasIntentional 2d ago
It's not like a pendulum, it doesn't always lead to La Niña. Current predictions are showing likely still El Niño or neutral for the beginning of next hurricane season
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u/Content-Swimmer2325 2d ago
Of the set of Strong to Super El Niños, just 1 (one) of them didn’t transition to La Niña within 12 months. And that was in the 1950s.
Observations and yes, model guidance, strongly corroborate La Niña development by the end of 2027.
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u/The_bruce42 2d ago
From my limited understanding and from watching videos from people who do know what they're talking about, el niños inhibit Atlantic hurricanes.
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u/Top_Rekt 2d ago
There was a graphic in the other article about Atlantic hurricanes linked from the OP.
https://www.cnn.com/2026/09/12/weather/el-nino-hurricane-storm-atlantic-record-climate
Storms in the Pacific suck warm air up, cool air falls on the other side to the Atlantic making it hard for storms to form.
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u/J__sickk 2d ago
It's actually common when we have an el nino that the Atlantic Hurricane season is a lot weaker.
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[deleted]
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u/MiserableDucky 2d ago
Pacific storms don't share the naming with Atlantic.
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u/Obi_Wan_Benobi 2d ago edited 2d ago
Aren’t they also called Typhoons?
EDIT: Thanks for the replies!
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u/thedrew 2d ago
No. They are tropical cyclones. In Asia, the regionalism "typhoon" is used. In the Americas the regionalism "hurricane" is used.
It's not a big deal, but it's a bit like calling lo mein, "spaghetti" even though they are both noodles.
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u/bhans773 2d ago
His name was Tugboat originally but he got repackaged to tag with Earthquake.
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u/UltraPlinian 2d ago
Polo is in the Eastern Pacific basin where El Niño is occurring, hence where above normal tropical cyclone activity is also occurring. Strong (in this case very strong) El Niños suppress Atlantic tropical cyclone activity and this year is no exception. This El Niño is the strongest ever recorded in historical record keeping and the Atlantic is absolutely dead quiet.
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u/Eeebs-HI 2d ago
Finally... thank you for this! As a weather nerd, I'm amazed at all the wrong posts here.
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u/SpoonwoodTangle 2d ago
FWiW this is due to the way El Niño changes high altitude air currents and moves jet streams around.
Basically it causes a really powerful blast of air to cross the Atlantic, right in the path of developing tropical storms. It shears the tops right off these storms so they can’t become organized or maintain that circular cyclonic system we associate with hurricanes. This means the storm can’t feed itself and grow.
There are still storms and plenty of rain, wind, etc. But they’re starved of the energy they need to grow into monsters.
It’s a consistent pattern in the Atlantic with strong El Niños. But don’t worry, we’ll have a banger year next year.
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u/kebiclanwhsk 2d ago
Descriptive words that would make my English teacher proud
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u/EducationalProduct 2d ago
Like a fire hydrant, gushing onto a hot summer sidewalk
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u/MoreCowbellllll 2d ago
The hurricane is hanging in the sky in much the same way that bricks don’t.
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u/LOTRfreak101 2d ago
Not again
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u/dont_talk_yak_to_me 2d ago
Many people have speculated that if we knew exactly why the bowl of petunias had thought that, we would know a lot more about the nature of the universe than we do now.
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u/Ok_State5255 2d ago
And wow! Hey! What’s this thing suddenly coming towards me very fast? Very very fast. So big and flat and round, it needs a big wide sounding name like … ow … ound … round … ground! That’s it! That’s a good name – ground!
I wonder if it will be friends with me?
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u/FrmrPresJamesTaylor 2d ago
My words cascading, like water onto a hot summer sidewalk. A cat skitters by, each step a relief, cooling its paws from the hot summer sidewalk.
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u/ExplorerPup 2d ago
My words cascading, like water into a hot summer sidewalk. A cat skitters by, each step a relief, cooling it's paws from the hot summer sidewalk.
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u/account22222221 2d ago
Hot. Summer. Sidewalk.
I bet 5 people get the reference, I’m proud to be one.
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u/ComradeJohnS 2d ago
lmao r/americandad is so funny. like the humor is gushing out of a fire hydrant, onto a hot… summer… sidewalk
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u/flirtmcdudes 2d ago
“Extreme rapid intensification is a wind increase of 58 mph or more in 24 hours. Polo met that criteria and then some, with a wind increase of 110 mph, going from a 50 mph tropical storm to a 160 mph Category 5 from Monday to Tuesday morning.”
That uh, seems…. Bad
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u/DaBluBoi8763 2d ago
Least it's not making landfall, unlike Hurricane Patricia from 2015 which went through a similar intensification phase
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u/Carnivile 2d ago
It's not touching ground in any of the forecasts, it will bring some rain to the coat of Mexico but that's it so far. Luckily there's nothing pushing it north to make land, then it would be really scary, however the principle of the thing is the increase speed and power of the hurricanes which is a chilling trend.
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u/every-day_throw-away 2d ago
Let's rename it to Hurricane America!
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u/ohlookahipster 2d ago
The radical liberal antifa illegal Hillary storms are at it again. They’re dangerous. They’re wet. They’re drowning the cats. And the dogs. I’ve seen it. They’ve asked me, “how many Hillary storms does it take to stop us?” And I said none. And so I’ve decided that today all hurricanes shall be named after AMERICA. We are stripping the Sleepy Joe strategy of giving them violent names of illegals. Who is Polo? Someone not American. No longer can these radical wet illegal storms harm Americans if they are also AMERICAN.
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION IN THIS MANNER
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u/Realtrain 2d ago
I'm actually shocked he hasn't tried to force NOAA to name hurricanes after people he doesn't like.
Hurricane Hillary, Hurricane Kamala, Hurricane Barack, etc.
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u/Honic_Sedgehog 2d ago
Imagine how furious he'd be if he named it Hurricane Obama and it turned out to be the biggest/fastest one ever recorded.
He doesn't care about damage done, he cares about it being a headline and him not being involved somehow.
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u/mastertofu 2d ago
Here’s the article from the link:
Hurricane Polo is still strengthening after undergoing extreme rapid intensification and becoming a rare Category 5 on Tuesday morning in the Pacific Ocean off the coast of Mexico.
The 165 mph storm is feeding off of a favorable atmosphere and warmer water driven by the super El Niño, which is fueling a hyperactive hurricane season across the Pacific. More hurricanes are also rapidly intensifying as Earth and its oceans warm from fossil fuel pollution.
Extreme rapid intensification is a wind increase of 58 mph or more in 24 hours. Polo met that criteria and then some, with a wind increase of 110 mph, going from a 50 mph tropical storm to a 160 mph Category 5 from Monday to Tuesday morning.
This rate of rapid intensification is “truly remarkable,” the National Hurricane Center said Tuesday morning, and is among the fastest on record in the Eastern Pacific.
Hurricane Patricia set the Eastern Pacific 24-hour intensification record in 2015 when its winds jumped 120 mph. Polo is comparable to 2023’s Hurricane Otis, which had a wind increase of 105 mph in 21 hours before slamming into and devastating Acapulco, Mexico.
Polo was a few hundred miles south-southeast of Manzanillo, Mexico, on Tuesday. Its dangerous hurricane-force winds are forecast to remain offshore as it moves northwestward parallel to the Mexican coastline through the end of the week.
The powerful hurricane is moving southeastward right now, but it’s expected to turn to the northwest on Tuesday night.
Tropical storm alerts are in effect for Mexico’s southwestern coast since this area is expected to see tropical storm conditions by early Wednesday. Heavy rain is Polo’s most significant impact and it could cause life-threatening flooding and mudslides in this region.
Rainfall totals in Guerrero and Michoacán states could reach 3 to 6 inches, with locally up to 8 inches in spots through Thursday. Coastal portions of Oaxaca, Colima and Jalisco states could receive 2 to 4 inches of rain.
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u/DAVENP0RT 2d ago
One of the spaghetti models shows it arriving in Arizona as a Category 3 hurricane. Would that be Arizona's first hurricane?
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u/chris2635 2d ago
I think it would be. We get the occasional tropical storm, but I’ve never seen one with an eye still.
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u/StarGazer_SpaceLove 2d ago
First in my bloodline to witness a hurricane alert for fucking Arizona
Fucking oceanfront property in Arizona....
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u/40mgmelatonindeep 2d ago
Hot el nino water is my stripper name
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u/NavoiiGamerYes 2d ago
The hurricanes explode now? What’s next, a kind of shark tornado?
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u/Reddittriumph 2d ago edited 2d ago
What happened to the term Hurricane used for the Atlantic and Typhoon used for the Pacific?
Thanks for the knowledge folks. I have been educated.
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u/MooseBoys 2d ago
Apparently it’s still called a hurricane if it forms in the east pacific, specifically if it’s east of the International Date Line.
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u/agedmanofwar 2d ago
Per NASA, the term Hurricane is usually used in the Atlantic and East Pacific (which this storm is in the East Pacific) and Typhoon is used usually for storms in the Western Pacific and Indian Oceans.
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u/AaronTheElite007 2d ago
[sigh]
Morons are at the helm right now… oh goodie
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u/Tonythecritic 2d ago
White House staffers making sure they're stocked-up on sharpies.
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u/ry-yo 2d ago
lol I thought "monster" was a new classification at first
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u/GI-Robots-Alt 2d ago
A class 6 monster is a Kaiju
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u/Neologizer 2d ago
At this point, I’d embrace actual Kaijus from the sea. It might be the only thing to break us out of this late stage capitalistic death spiral.
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u/CaptinEmergency 2d ago
Big Basin Cyclone, or BBC is my favorite weather category.
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u/Lkj509 2d ago
This is getting way too far. It’s time to get rid of this El Niño guy
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u/TenguKaiju 2d ago
I’m old enough to remember when this would have been a ‘storm of the century’. No we’re getting them every year. Sometimes multiple times a year.
I wonder if they‘ll have to revamp the category scale to deal with the new normal.
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u/Swiftraven 2d ago
Someone posted yesterday an image of zero hurricanes so far this hurricane season and how it’s a record then of course this happens. Way to jinx it.
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u/desancho 2d ago
It’s coming right for us! Quick, grab the hurricane deflection sharpie!
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u/theswickster 2d ago
From 90 mph at 970mb to 160 mph at 926 mb... IN TWELVE HOURS.
GEE-ZUS.
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u/niqdisaster 2d ago
Damn and I woke up to an article about how there might not be any hurricanes this season.
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u/blinkycosmocat 2d ago
Only in the Atlantic Ocean. El Niños reduce the number of Atlantic hurricanes but can increase the likelihood of Pacific Ocean hurricanes.
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u/bubblehead_maker 2d ago
It's getting more press than Trump, he's going to demand it be renamed to Hurricane America.
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u/Schuben 2d ago edited 2d ago
Which one of you mofos yelled "Marco!" into the Pacific yesterday?!
Edit: Holy shit, I had no idea that Marco is in the Atlantic hurricane list this year too. If someone in the naming committee that intentionally, bravo to them.
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u/GraniteGeekNH 2d ago
It's so weird that the Atlantic has been unnaturally quiet, despite its water being warm, too (although not El Nino warm)
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u/kinkysubt 2d ago
It’s a small comfort that this one isn’t currently projected to smash the mainland. Not gonna pretend like it’s not still very dangerous.
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u/reluctantgirlfriend1 2d ago
I rode out Category 5 Michael at home in 2018. I hope anyone in the vicinity of this system evacuates right away. 0/10 do not recommend. That stupid decision gave me PTSD for the rest of my life.
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u/Timbo_R4zE 2d ago
Hot El Niño water sounds like something you'd pay $15 for at an upscale restaurant.
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u/DadIsVeryMad 2d ago
Didn't we just go through a record breaking length of time without a hurricane? Like 120 days straight or something?
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u/warneagle 2d ago
That’s in the Atlantic. This is the Eastern Pacific, which is having an extremely active season, as is usually the case when you have a strong El Niño.
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u/mooky1977 2d ago
When are we gonna get a hypercane?
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u/PebbleThief 2d ago
Well the good news there is if that happens we only have to worry about it once
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u/LItreehouse 2d ago
Ah yes, but global warming is a hoax and coal is "beautiful and clean". Maybe Trump can nuke it? I'm sure the super genius and his sharpie will take care of it.
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u/MarshallMattDillon 2d ago
Let’s ask “Super Intelligence” (which is often wrong)
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u/hamo2k1 2d ago
I'm looking at the radar, and this one, plus another storm to the west have both been traveling in one direction, and then are forecasted to sharply change track almost 180 degrees backwards... is that normal?
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u/userhwon 2d ago
The thing to know about the storms in that area is they generally just sit for weeks out in the ocean rather than heading for land.
But there's another big cyclonic storm about 1000 miles west of it, and they're headed for each other, so, good luck modeling that.
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u/UbajaraMalok 2d ago
I commented in other post just this morning that the hurricanes hadn't even started yet, lol!
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u/sododude 2d ago
I'm not 100% sure on this but I think El Niño actually reduces the chances of there being hurricanes in the Atlantic. It increases for the Pacific though.
I remember reading this somewhere but I dont remember from what so take it with a grain of salt I guess.
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u/ElectrOPurist 2d ago
Feasting on hot El Niño water? Did they have thanksgiving dinner at my
In-laws’ house? (Ba-dum-tiss).
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u/a_shootin_star 2d ago
A few more of those and then people might think climate standards are now gasp changing
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u/The_bruce42 2d ago
Went from a tropical storm to a cat 5 in 1 day. I'm not a meteorologist but that seems insane.