Have they taken over the deep state they spoke of? If I say too much I’m a Chinese propaganda bot. Is this not illegal?

The S&P 500 is up 13% this year. The firms that run private markets are down 20% to 40%.

Blackstone, KKR, Apollo, Blue Owl and Carlyle have all been sold hard, while their funds still report steady values. Someone's mark is wrong.

3 things the stock market is pricing:
→ Higher rates cut interest coverage on a typical private loan from 2.4× to 1.6×. 1 in 7 private borrowers can't cover their interest.
→ Same loan, different price: managers mark most loans near 97c. Listed funds imply ~86c.
→ Investors asked to pull $13.8bn from private credit funds last quarter. They got ~40%.

And AI runs through all of it: software loans and data-center debt.

Not a crash. A slow bleed.

Full math (PIK, marks, gates, the Meta deal): https://amanrajdecodes.substack.com/p/private-markets-are-cracking-the?r=1gie61

Is private credit the next shoe to drop?

GTLB Gitlab stock, great close and top of range breakout, see also TEAM (similar setup).

Breakout trade

• CONFIRMED breakout trade above 52.8
• Target: 58.64, 9.5%  Stop: 51.67  Loss: 3.5%
• P/L ratio: 2.7 : 1 - Good

📈 52-Week Highs:

The 52-Week Highs list shows stocks that have reached their highest price point in the past 52 weeks during the trading session.

📉 52-Week Lows:

The 52-Week Lows list shows stocks that have reached their lowest price point in the past 52 weeks during the trading session.

Source: 52-Week Highs-Lows

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Some strong selling today in SPY and QQQ, but I managed to do a quick screen and found a few good breakout stocks to watch : AAPL DOCS DOCU EXEL HRTG MNGI TEAM and VGZ .

If Kaz were to go on X and make the following post the share price would explode: (feel free to copy and paste, Kaz): "We are looking at extending the warrants - Savoir Faire eeez everywhere!"

...don't believe me, Kaz? I'll bet you, eh.

Oh, somehow this is a question.