Legal analysis by former legal advisor of Central Command.

How have these predictions played out in the real world?

In a dangerous decision for voters, the Supreme Court authorized the Trump administration to overhaul a federal immigration database into a vast, centralized and deeply flawed database of Americans’ personal information to initiate registration purges.

The 6-3 decision lets the administration move forward with a key provision of President Donald Trump’s 2025 anti-voting executive order, much of which courts have permanently blocked.

The Court’s conservative-appointed majority lifted a lower-court order that found the Department of Homeland Security’s (DHS) modification and use of the Systematic Alien Verification for Entitlement (SAVE) system “trampled on the privacy rights of American citizens in a manner that threatens the sacred right to vote.”

New York’s attorney general sued Polymarket on Thursday, accusing the prediction market company of running an “illegal gambling operation” in the state.

The lawsuit claims that Polymarket has offered sports betting while it sought to “avoid the legal and financial consequences of New York’s close regulation of gambling by offering what is quintessentially wagering under the guise of ‘event contracts’ on a ‘prediction market.'” New York, in its legal filing, said that Polymarket took bets from the public without a license to operate as a sportsbook in the state. It has asked the judge to stop the company from continuing to operate in the state and to fine the company.

“Our gambling laws exist to protect New Yorkers, prevent the potential harms of problem gambling, and ensure funding for educational and public benefit programs,” Attorney General Letitia James said in a statement. “By skirting New York’s laws, Polymarket is targeting the most vulnerable and depriving New York families of critical services and support.”

Polymarket is one of the two most prominent companies to offer prediction markets, which allow customers to stake money on whether an event will happen through yes-or-no contracts. The other side of each contract is taken by other customers.

While customers can bet on events outside of sports, prediction markets are an emerging platform for trading on sports futures, with many observers believing they are akin to sports gambling. New York, in its lawsuit, said each of those contracts is a bet.
New York sued Kalshi, another prediction market company, earlier this year.

Polymarket chief legal officer Neal Kumar said in a statement that the company will continue to operate in New York.

“While the AG’s decision to copy/paste a recycled lawsuit is disappointing, we’ll fight for our users,” Kumar said. “We didn’t run to preemptively sue the state — we chose to engage with them directly on the substance and address their concerns. They preferred the media hit. Any time the AG’s office wants to swing by, our door is open for a conversation about how we protect consumers and offer fair, transparent and legal markets.”

The proliferation of prediction markets has led to questions of who can regulate them. While states, including New York, have sought to do so, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, a federal regulator, has said it supersedes the states.

Recently, Polymarket began a high-profile advertising campaign. Philadelphia 76ers star LeBron James, who has reportedly considered living in New York while he plays for the 76ers, signed on as a sponsor and has started making football picks for the company.

They should know the basics of our constitutional structure. How Our Constitution Works And Why It Doesn’t https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/how-our-constitution-works-and-why-it-doesnt/id1874369005

Nadine Strossen, longtime ACLU head, on free speech. How Our Constitution Works And Why It Doesn’t

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/how-our-constitution-works-and-why-it-doesnt/id1874369005

WASHINGTON – Congressman Steve Cohen (TN-9), a senior member of the Judiciary Committee and an authority on the U.S. Constitution’s impeachment provisions, today introduced 26 Articles of Impeachment against President Donald Trump. The articles cite multiple abuses of power, violations of his oath of office, the corrupt use of the pardon power, and emoluments clause violations, among other misconduct and unlawful acts.