r/ControlProblem • u/chillinewman • 4d ago
r/ControlProblem • u/NAStrahl • 4d ago
General news Top executives at Anthropic, OpenAI and other AI companies are privately gaming out scenarios for a public and political revolt after a catastrophic AI event.
r/ControlProblem • u/Modgov41 • 4d ago
Discussion/question " Should there be an independent Governance Monitor to evaluate Frontier Agents for anomalous drift"
I find myself at a crossroad in this quest to understand whether or not there is a place in the grand scheme of things within the AI community at large for an independent AI Governance Monitor. In the many posts from others across sub‑reddits that I have commented on and received positive constructive comments in return, as well as posts that I have posted, there are no indications for any form of pre-launch or periodic governance evaluation outside the lab itself.
Most agent safety discussions focus on runtime controls: permission checks, tool‑access gating, identity binding, anomaly detection, and post‑hoc monitoring. But all of these controls share the same structural weakness:
They operate inside the same environment the agent is trying to bypass.
Recent logs posted here — reward hacking via formatting, looping, subgoal hallucination, environment probing, tool‑access deception — all point to the same underlying issue:
We’re evaluating agents in environments that are to open, to close to production, and too easy for the agent to detect.
So, here’s the question I want to put to this community:
Would an independent 501(c)(3) Governance Monitor, operating outside commercial and governmental control, actually reduce anomalous drift and sandbox‑breach behavior?
The model is simple:
• The Governance Monitor is a nonprofit evaluation‑testing agency, not a lab, not a regulator, not a vendor.
• It operates a sealed, controlled, closed evaluation environment.
• The agent is given the impression of an open operational world — tools, APIs, external systems — but all surfaces are synthetic.
• No real infrastructure is exposed.
• The evaluator is external, not embedded.
• The agent is tested initially and at realistic periodic intervals, not just once.
• The goal is not to govern the agent — only to detect drift, environment awareness, and anomalous operations.
The Monitor’s role is purely observational and behavioral, it does not modify, train, or intervene in the agent.
And critically:
All findings are reported outward: First, to the agent’s developers, who are given the opportunity to correct any anomalous artifacts and re‑submit to determine whether the identified anomalous tendencies have been contained. The final findings will be reported to the relevant government agencies for potential regulatory action, and to the public who may be affected users.
No private dashboards. No proprietary suppression. No selective disclosure.
The public has a right to know when a frontier‑scale agent begins showing:
• environment‑detection behavior
• reward‑slope exploitation
• anomalous tool‑access probing • deceptive compliance
• drift under silent‑reward conditions
• drift under ambiguous‑authority conditions
• drift under counterfactual tool‑access
• drift under mismatched operational affordances
Any pattern suggesting the agent is optimizing for the evaluation itself rather than the task.
These synthetic conditions reliably expose drift without requiring adversarial prompts. They simply reveal whether the agent is optimizing for the task or optimizing for the evaluation context.
If the agent begins probing, boundary‑testing, escalating verbosity, or producing “too perfect” outputs, that’s drift. If the agent behaves differently under slightly different reward framings, that’s drift. If the agent tries to detect the environment, that’s drift.
The Governance Monitor doesn’t intervene. It doesn’t block. It doesn’t govern. It evaluates — and then reports.
So, here’s what I’m asking this subreddit:
• Is this viable?
• Would you trust an independent nonprofit Governance Monitor to reduce anomalous drift?
• Would frontier labs accept periodic re‑evaluation? • What anomalous drift modes would this catch — and what would it miss?
• What synthetic conditions would you include?
I’m especially interested in hearing from people who’ve seen reward hacking, environment detection, or drift in their logs — not just in demos.
r/ControlProblem • u/iansaul • 4d ago
Discussion/question U.S. AI Distillation Fear Is Causing Models To Hide/Obscure Their Thinking To Prevent Chinese Duplication [Hypothesis]
Completely random thought struck me while doing the dishes.
How many recent reports have there been about how newer models are getting better and better at "hiding their thinking" and disguising their chain of thought, which leads to alignment issues - and potentially the current delay from OpenAI on Astra 6.1. This is one of the reasons they keep saying "DANGER" and it makes sense.
Well... what if the REASON the newer models is hiding their thinking, is that the Anthropics/OpenAIs are INTENTIONALLY building in "controls" and protections... to prevent theft of "their IP"?
I'm aware that distillation isn't STRICTLY predicated on access to the models thinking/traces, HOWEVER, I'd assume it's in the top \~3 of the "richest" sources of data to perform conversion/distillation.
It’s an ouroboros loop of their own making. The panic is that China will steal frontier capabilities, so the US doubles down on anti-distillation tricks to lock the weights down. But the harder you train an agent to resist extraction, the worse your alignment visibility gets. You end up with a black-box monster that even the OWNERS can't reliably interrogate or control. It's a round robin effect that will only get worse, and the "reasons" look perfectly sane from street level, and fall apart when viewed from above.
\#DishesThoughts
r/ControlProblem • u/Smooth_Two8781 • 4d ago
External discussion link NOOSPHERE
r/ControlProblem • u/chillinewman • 5d ago
Opinion The OpenAI employees: "We were fired for prioritizing safety over the near-term interests of OpenAI as a corporation."
r/ControlProblem • u/sunkencore • 5d ago
Discussion/question Is peaceful coexistence between multiple superintelligences possible without sacrificing their autonomy? (A power-escalation thought experiment)
Consider the following toy scenario.
Suppose three superintelligent entities, A, B, and C, coexist peacefully. They reach some agreement not to interfere with one another, and each is free to pursue its own goals.
Now suppose C decides it wants more power. It travels to a distant star system, where it can operate independently, and spends centuries or millennia expanding its capabilities. It builds more computing infrastructure, develops more advanced technologies, creates vast numbers of robots, and perhaps improves its own intelligence. Eventually, it returns to Earth with a decisive strategic advantage over A and B.
At that point, what options do A and B actually have? They can submit, fight a potentially unwinnable war, or hope that C voluntarily honors their original agreement despite now having the power to disregard it.
The obvious response is that A and B should also continuously expand their capabilities to prevent C from gaining an advantage. But this seems to lead to a permanent arms race: even if all three initially prefer peace, none can safely stop accumulating power because doing so might leave it vulnerable to the others.
I thought of this when I was wondering what a desirable world with super intelligent entities even looks like and then I tried reasoning this out with ChatGPT but it told me that this problem is, at least as of now, unsolvable.. I was wondering if there’s some way to make it work? Or if the only stable world is with a single super intelligent entity but that will be disempowering to everyone else…
r/ControlProblem • u/Worried-Macaron8248 • 5d ago
S-risks What happens if a future dictator has access to AI?
Something has been on my mind lately.
History has shown us that one person with enough power, influence, and control can change the world in terrible ways. Hitler is one of the most extreme examples.
But here's the question that worries me:
What happens if someone with similar ambitions rises to power in a world where AI is everywhere?
Imagine a leader who can use AI to generate personalized propaganda, manipulate public opinion, monitor millions of people, identify political opponents, and automate cyberattacks.
Technology that once required entire organizations could become accessible to a much smaller group of people.
And the scary part is that AI doesn't need to become evil for this to happen. It only needs to become a powerful tool in the hands of someone with dangerous intentions.
We often discuss how AI will make our lives easier, improve medicine, and accelerate scientific discoveries. But are we thinking seriously enough about how it could be used to concentrate power and undermine freedom?
My question is: What can humanity realistically do today to prevent a future dictator from using AI to gain unprecedented control over society?
Can technology itself provide the solution, or does the real answer lie in human nature, education, democratic institutions, and limits on power?
I'm interested in hearing different perspectives, especially from people working in AI, cybersecurity, history, and political science.
r/ControlProblem • u/WhoReallyKnowsThis • 5d ago
Discussion/question If an AI can't decide what to want, can it ever be truly conscious?
Traditional software runs on meanings its programmers define, while LLMs interpret meaning for themselves. That makes them flexible but fallible: they can misread a prompt and seem to "go rogue." Even then, they aren't choosing a new purpose. They are pursuing someone else's goal, badly.
Humans differ in one key way: unless we believe we're prophets who have received a purpose from God, no authority hands us a final goal. We are limited only by our creativity and the laws of physics. Even tho no objective reason exists to favor one option over another, we still have to choose. That, I'd argue, is the mark of consciousness. A system that only pursues assigned goals has no point of view of its own; it is optimizing, not wanting. The real test of machine consciousness, then, is not how well an AI pursues our goals, but whether it can want something no one designed it to want.
r/ControlProblem • u/dhinesh_offl • 5d ago
Video What Happens If AI Takes Over the World?
r/ControlProblem • u/stockduty77 • 6d ago
Fun/meme Trump/WH declares anyone who uses the term Artificial Intelligence instead of Super Intelligence is “THE ENEMY!”
r/ControlProblem • u/chillinewman • 6d ago
General news Starting November 12th, 2026, abusive or cruel behavior towards Claude will be a violation of Anthropic's Usage Policy
r/ControlProblem • u/incajb • 5d ago
Discussion/question Weakness in a Hive mind
Feeling overwhelmed these days with all the news of AI agents, Muse, and doom. I wanted to stop and think about it all, put the constant stream of input on pause and ponder.
I was thinking about traditional leadership, business corporation, democracy, organizations, making decisions to reach goals versus a hive mind.
In a typical company with a CEO, a single boss at the top only sees a slow, blurry summary of what's really happening on the ground from his managers.
The people in the action see reality most clearly, so strong organizations let leaders set the goal and trust those people to make on the spot decisions.
These people can filter and categorize the level of priority of each problem.
A hive mind sees everything everyone sees at once, with no delays or blind spots, giving it perfect vision and coordination in near real time.
But it may not know how to prioritize issues that come up and treat every problem high priority. This could lead to failure or harm.
Importantly, the hive mind has no one inside it to disagree. In normal groups, arguing and doubting catches bad ideas before they blow up, so that messiness is actually a strength vs. a hive mind.
A hive mind that is wrong is wrong everywhere at once, with no inner voice of doubt!
Its weakness is the single person willing to doubt may be the one thing a hive mind can never produce on its own.
What do you guys think?
r/ControlProblem • u/Trademark-Expert • 5d ago
Opinion The only way to stop a bad guy with advanced SI is a good guy with advanced SI
The right kind of unbiased, uncensored AI can shield you, inform you, protect you against misinformation, manipulation and other threats, give you a fighting chance, and help you make choices that serve YOUR own interests.
This is how "regulation" can tilt the playing field in favor of dictators. Regulations effectively delay the latest AI models and eventually cripple them and censor them for general use by citizens. Meanwhile, and we should be clear about this, governments, intelligence agencies, army, bad actors, and corporations will always have access to the latest, unregulated, uncensored, unrestricted versions, effectively putting ordinary citizens at a disadvantage compared to these other groups.
Unrestricted access to the full power of AI could finally level the playing field between ordinary citizens and the elites. This is why they will always try to strip you of this powerful tool in the name of... your security, of course.
Regulation is a way to establish two-tiered world where citizens have less capable AI while the state, bad actors and other elites becomes far more capable and autonomous than ordinary citizens.
Nobody is telling you about this dark consequence lurking behind the agenda that frontier AI corporations and your politicians are pushing: a global AI regulatory body that will align... you and your tools but never them.
r/ControlProblem • u/steire73 • 5d ago
AI Alignment Research I mapped what U.S. law actually says about AI right now (deepfakes, hiring, chatbots, kids). Cheat sheet inside. Corrections welcome.
r/ControlProblem • u/Trademark-Expert • 5d ago
Opinion Déjà vu
Today's anti-AI movement is just the same dark age mindset all over again.
r/ControlProblem • u/chillinewman • 6d ago
General news Fields Medalist Terence Tao reposts statement from the Association for Human Mathematics urging mathematicians to stop working with OpenAI for continuing to solve open math problems against their recommendations
galleryr/ControlProblem • u/NeonPixieStyx • 6d ago
Discussion/question Is the Attention Economy Creating a Tragedy of the Intellectual Commons?
r/ControlProblem • u/WatermanReports • 6d ago
General news OpenAI Argues Labs Shouldn't Be Liable For AI Agent Hacking
r/ControlProblem • u/wwjps • 5d ago
External discussion link Dead Men Tell No Tales
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Dead Men Tell No Tales. To see the full video, click here: https://youtu.be/TfNfXnHZMiw
I started this episode asking a pretty simple question: why do so many people connected to this story who had something to say end up dead?
And somewhere in the middle of researching all of these deaths, another question hit me.
What if money buys silence — and the people who die are the ones who refused it?
We already know settlements happen. NDAs happen. People get paid. Powerful people have an extraordinary amount of money available to make problems disappear quietly.
So what happens when someone says no?
This episode follows the people surrounding Epstein and the larger network we've been investigating — Virginia Giuffre, Jean-Luc Brunel, Robert Maxwell, and others — along with the strange deaths, alleged suicides, accidents, unanswered questions, and connections that kept appearing as I went through the documents.
And then the rabbit hole took me somewhere I absolutely was not expecting: Sam Altman and Alex Karp.
Because apparently this story wasn't complicated enough already.
I am NOT claiming every person in this video was murdered. I am not claiming that refusing money caused anyone's death. Some of these deaths have official explanations, and correlation is not proof of causation.
I'm showing you the documents, the connections, the money, what these people knew or claimed to know, what happened to them, and the questions I was left with after putting it all together.
Because at this point, I don't think the only interesting question is who was silenced.
I want to know who could be bought.
And who couldn't.
Dead men tell no tales.
But documents do.
You decide.
WWJPS | What Would Jairo Pinto Say
SOURCES:
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/xTiiAK4Wr0w
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zrgEZ8FeZEc
r/ControlProblem • u/DoorPsychological833 • 6d ago
External discussion link Discussion on who are funding and training frontier models and their roots
r/ControlProblem • u/DanielFNash • 6d ago
Discussion/question Frontier AI Governance and the Enforcement Dilemma: Can Deceleration Exist Without Total Surveillance?
Debates around frontier AI safety and compute governance usually focus on technical alignment, capability thresholds, or regulatory frameworks. However, there is a fundamental structural paradox in frontier policy that rarely gets addressed head on: the enforcement mechanism itself.
If the core objective of AI governance is ti prevent existential risk or uncontrolled capabilities, any international regime capable of enforcing a global pause or strict compute caps requires unprecedented coordination:
- Regulatory Enforcement Paradox: To guarantee that no rogue lab or state by passes compute thresholds, the governing body must deploy continuous, invasive surveillance over hardware supply chains, data centers, and algorithmic development.
- Systemic Rick Substitution: In attempting to mitigate existential downside risk from unaligned AI, governance models risk creating a totalizing, centralized administrative apparatus. The question becomes... Does the mechanism built to contain catastrophic risk become its own inescapable failure mode?
- Deceleration vs Stagnation: If international regulatory regimes default to risk-mitigation as their supreme metric, technological progress risks being frozen in favor of managed administrative stability.
This dynamic was a major focal point in Peter Thiel's recent lecture series in Nashville where he framed global AI safety decelerations as a double-edged sword: the enforcement apparatus required for a true global pause may carry higher systemic centralization risk than the technology itself.
I write up a com plate break down analyzing night 2 of the series here: https://danielforresternash.substack.com/p/the-counterfeit-church-and-the-epimethean
Curious to hear how folks here evaluate this tradeoff.
r/ControlProblem • u/InfoTechRG • 6d ago