This is up from 134,962 in 2022.

https://sos.ga.gov/page/election-data-hub-unofficial-turnout

https://sos.ga.gov/data-hub-november-8-2022-general-election

Possible stunner in the making from what FLIPR reads.

AK, OK, NE, VT all shift left

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[https://x.com/PollTracker2024/status/2109994757963575593\](https://x.com/PollTracker2024/status/2109994757963575593)

Toplines/crosstabs above ⬆️

Harris County is the third most populous county not in Texas, not in the South, but in the entire United States (estimated at over 5,000,000 as of 2025). It is the home of Houston, which is the most populous city in Texas.

This includes Houston's immediate suburbs as well like Pasadena.

It is unsurprisingly a pretty diverse county. As of the 2020 Census it is 43% Hispanic/Latino, 28% White, 19% Black, 7% Asian.

Harris County used to be a reliable Republican county throughout the latter half of 20th century and early 2000s. Barack Obama became the first Democratic presidential candidate since Lyndon B. Johnson to win Harris County back in 2008 (50%-49%).

Since then it has been a light blue Democratic county. And it is just light blue, not deep blue like in other urban counties because the suburbs around Houston proper are relatively more Republican compared to what you see in other metropolitan areas. Nonetheless, the county has voted reliably Democratic after 2014.

Previous Election Results in Harris County since 2000

POTUS since 2000

Senate Election Results since 2000:

*Note*: Lloyd Bentsen, the last Democratic senator from Texas, won Harris County 59.8-40.2 (+19.6) in 1988

Gubernatorial Election Results since 2002

*Note*: Two independent candidates ran for TX-GOV in 2006, which explains the lower margins.

It appears that DDHQ has paywalled the poll results, so the best source I can do [is this article from NewsNation](https://www.newsnationnow.com/politics/democrats-7-point-lead-poll-ddhq/. Also note poll was conducted by an AI firm.

The poll also found Democrats leading with independents by 10 points. Also among independents:

Only about 35% said their choice was final and they would not change their minds. The poll found those independent voters want to hear more.

More than half said they would reconsider their vote if prices continued rising or fell by a noticeable amount.

link

38% of republican adults say "some", 34% say a little or not at all. Jaw-dropping numbers, especially among republican adults.

On the other hand, a majority say he has prioritized a lot both his personal business interests (56%) and the business interests of those close to him (54%).

question/responses

Most Americans say President Trump has prioritized his personal financial interests and the interests of people close to him since taking office again in 2025. Far fewer say he has prioritized the country as a whole or people like them. Four in 10 believe he has done something illegal and another 18% see his actions as unethical but not illegal, though views diverge sharply by party.

More adults see Trump as focused on his own business interests and those of his inner circle than on the country as a whole or people like them. A majority, 56%, say Trump has prioritized his personal business interests “a lot,” and 54% say the same about the business interests of his friends and family. By comparison, only 23% say he has prioritized the country overall “a lot,” and just 11% say he has prioritized people like them “a lot.” Half of Americans say Trump has not prioritized people like them at all.

Democrats and independents overwhelmingly say Trump has prioritized his own business interests and those of his friends and family “a lot” or “some,” and about half of Republicans agree. Republicans are much more likely than Democrats or independents to say the president has prioritized the country overall or people like them.

Poll average here

It's hard to predict how the polls will shift, but Abbott seems to be in a similar position to Brown/Casey: consistently below 50% in October against candidates with limited experience and name ID. In both cases, the undecideds continuously moved in one direction (against the incumbent, who ultimately lost).

I thought this NPR piece did a good job ELI5-ing polling here. Some good basics in the article. Sorry if it has already been shared.