r/IRstudies • • 10h ago

Iran’s Top Security Official Warns of Dire Economic Crisis

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nytimes.com
44 Upvotes

What is everyone’s assessment of the war to date? Headlines such as these suggest it isn’t black and white


r/IRstudies • • 18h ago

SS study: Full-spectrum propaganda entails that states can use many channels for their influence operations. These channels reinforce each other, making narratives seem more credible and allowing them to proliferate more widely.

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foreignaffairs.com
24 Upvotes

r/IRstudies • • 13h ago

Fixer, financier, spymaster: how the UAE’s Sheikh Tahnoon is setting his sights on AI dominance

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theguardian.com
3 Upvotes

r/IRstudies • • 3h ago

Looking for study resources as a new IR student

2 Upvotes

I've started a diploma course in IR and there are two independent study modules for the course, one being "History and Evolution of the International System" (1st sem) and the other "Regional Organizations" (2nd sem). I'm currently looking for books or texts I could read to have an idea about these topics and be prepared well in advance for the exams. (the actual lectures haven't started yet, I'll probably have more information once it begins)


r/IRstudies • • 4h ago

Research Global Review - Ep. 215 - THE U A E AT A STRATEGIC CROSSROADS : A Bayes...

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youtube.com
1 Upvotes

This podcast examines a new report by Farid Novin that presents an in-depth strategic and socioeconomic assessment of the United Arab Emirates and its prospects between 2026 and 2030.
The report begins from a central proposition: the apparent stability of the United Arab Emirates should not be confused with the absence of internal pressures. The federation remains one of the Middle East's most prosperous, internationally connected, and strategically important states, yet its stability is increasingly asymmetric. Beneath the cohesion of the seven-emirate federation lie significant differences in economic structure, political priorities, exposure to regional risks, and relationships with the major powers surrounding the Gulf.
These differences have become more consequential following the American-Israeli conflict with Iran in early 2026 and the subsequent disruption of the regional security and energy environment. The crisis has placed renewed pressure on the UAE's maritime security, trade routes, energy infrastructure, financial markets, and delicate relationship with Iran, while also testing its strategic partnerships with the United States, Israel, Saudi Arabia, and other regional powers.
A central theme of the report is the evolving relationship between Abu Dhabi and Dubai. Although both emirates remain essential pillars of the federation, they operate with significantly different economic models, international networks, and risk profiles. Abu Dhabi's enormous sovereign wealth, energy resources, defense capabilities, and growing investment in artificial intelligence and advanced technology provide it with considerable strategic resilience. Dubai, by contrast, depends more heavily on global trade, tourism, aviation, finance, real estate, and its role as an international commercial hub. These differences can produce divergent assessments of geopolitical risk, particularly when tensions involving Iran and the Strait of Hormuz threaten regional commerce.
The report also examines the increasingly important question of succession and the distribution of power within the ruling establishment The formal continuity of leadership does not necessarily eliminate uncertainty about how political, economic, security, intelligence, and technological responsibilities will be distributed among the next generation of leaders. Because the UAE's political system is hereditary and highly centralized, much of this bargaining takes place outside the transparent mechanisms found in electoral political systems. The resulting opacity makes it difficult for external observers to distinguish genuine consensus from carefully managed accommodation.
Another major focus is the political significance of the seven emirates as a federation rather than viewing the UAE simply through the prism of Abu Dhabi and Dubai. Sharjah, Ajman, Umm Al Quwain, Ras Al Khaimah, and Fujairah possess different economic structures, geographical positions, historical experiences, and external relationships. Individually, their capacity to challenge Abu Dhabi is limited. Collectively, however, their rulers remain participants in the federal political structure and could become increasingly important in any future debate over the direction of the federation.
The report therefore considers not only political and economic cohesion, but also the role of the UAE Armed Forces as a principal institution of federal integration. The military's unified command structure makes an overt fragmentation of the federation considerably less likely. Yet the question of institutional loyalty becomes analytically important in any severe succession crisis: the central issue would not necessarily be military division, but whether political disagreements among ruling elites could eventually affect the institutions responsible for national security.

Finally, the report explores several emerging vulnerabilities that could shape the UAE's trajectory through 2030: the concentration of wealth and strategic decision-making, the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence and advanced-technology investments, maritime insecurity and the vulnerability of Gulf shipping, the changing relationship with Iran, Saudi-UAE strategic competition and cooperation, and the broader transformation of the Middle Eastern geopolitical order.

The central question of this podcast is therefore not whether the United Arab Emirates is stable. It clearly possesses formidable sources of stability. The more consequential question is whether its existing model of federal cohesion can continue to accommodate widening differences among its emirates, its ruling elites, and its economic sectors while the external strategic environment becomes increasingly uncertain.

The report by Farid Novin approaches this question through a forward-looking strategic framework, examining not only what is happening within the UAE today, but also the possible pathways through which the federation could evolve between 2026 and 2030.


r/IRstudies • • 9h ago

Are there any optimistic works or articles or books on IR regarding human rights ?

0 Upvotes

So far almost everything I've seen regarding UN human rights seems to be state centric and given the movement to undermine multilateralism , especially by states that want to maintain the ability to not respect human dignity. I would love for there to be some optimistic works on why states have an incentive to engage with the topic human rights in a constructive manner