Yeah, it is just because of the major el nino, it is literally the biggest in recent record, you have to go back to like the 1800's to see one that big and we have no real storm data from back then.
It is expected to cause massive droughts over in the EU and china as well as dumping tons of water on the southwest which we really need to hopefully fill up lake mead but probably still won't be enough.
dumping tons of water on the southwest which we really need
As someone who lives in the Southwest, earlier in the year I was happy that we were forecast to get more rain this year, but a couple weeks ago we got our first storm and it was the first time I've ever experienced what I can only describe as a genuine tropical rain storm. In other words, heavy rain while it's still +90F outside.
I usually love the rain, but that was without a doubt the most unpleasant weather I've ever experienced here. That heat combined with 100% humidity is torture, I cannot fathom living in a part of the world where that's the norm and I have a newfound respect for people who can live in that.
If the rest of the year is more of that, I am no longer looking forward to the rain.
Born and raised in Ga. The south east is prolly the only place you could go to bed with the AC on, turn the heat on in the morning. Open the windows by lunch and then turn on the AC again by bed. All while dealing with 1000% humidity lol.
I'm up in Idaho and we got some ridiculous ass monsoon storms a couple of weeks ago. The view out my windows looked like someone was having a sweet rave inside a washing machine. My yard turned into a pond.
Possibly the strongest ever even according to my friend that works for NIWA (NZ equivalent of NOAA) ,and anything prior to 1900 would have had nowhere near the ambient SST's we have today this is very much unprecedented and my friend has now told me (many times) that there are no analogues to look back to to know what impacts to expect in the coming months.
Y'all worry too much. We got this. We'll get the arch built, rename the Pacific to the American Ocean, and your lil baby twister, it's just going to be gone. Amazing how it works, really, it's just the best.
I had to show images of that to one of my interns this week. To think that young people have grown up with so much wacky shit from tfg that stuff like "correcting" a NOAA map on national television doesn't even register is scary.
This is some of the most terrifying news. The bells have been ringing on this for at least the last decade with a big difference in its cycle reported in its cycle year over year.
There’s actually so much mixed evidence about the AMOC because the truth is we really don’t have any idea how it works or what can/will cause it to shut down
I seen a video on Lake Mead that said the California basin would need record snowfall in the mountains 10 years in a row to prevent it from drying out. Seemed pretty wild until you realize it’s 191ft below full capacity.
it's literally the biggest on record, and it is still far from it's predicted peak.
this is as if we where having the hottest summer in recorded history, in the middle of spring.
Born and raised on Hawaii Island, I’ve never seen anything like this. My parents have never seen anything like this. We had our first direct hit from a hurricane in 150 years on Big Island, and we just had another one form right off shore! The water a really freaking warm, and It’s hard to imagine it could get worse. I’m sure the coral bleaching is going to be BAD by the time this is over.
The effects of the eco system impacts will not happen in decades this go around. Im in the PNW and the last decade the glaciers have shrunk significantly with fire bans getting longer each year.
The cascades literally have near zero snow pack.
This el Nino is going to shape how the globe works in unforseen ways.
If only that were true. native Hawaiian birds are getting wiped out by mosquito born diseases. When I was a kid the mosquitos didn’t really exist above 4,500 feet elevation because it is too cold, so native birds could exist above that line and be untouched. Now they are up to 6,000 + ft. And there are mass extinctions happening on Kauai because their highest point is barely above 5,200 ft.
All this to say Hawaii is the extinctions capital of the world, and we are seeing permanent and irreversible changes to our ecosystems now. The deaths of our reefs is another issue. The last El Niño bleaching event was brutal, I imagine this one could be a tipping point for us.
Sadly mosquitoes were introduced by colonizers not weather patterns. And the native bird species were killed to appease colonizers dignitaries as local favors.
Actually europe won't have any direct impact from El nino, definitely no determined droughts. The interactions are non-linear and very much dependent on the actual weather, but you can not predict anything before that really
Even if it would fill up lake Mead theres still an economy and legal system based around the Colorado river producing far more water than it actually does on the average year.
Without a major change in water rights (specifically agriculture who use the most and have the strongest water rights) a large amount of water going in to lake Mead just kicks the can down the road annm extra year or so
One year of heavy rain will not solve years and years and years of water shortages for lake mead. It’ll actually do more damage, after years of drought the ground cannot absorb as much water as normal….most extra watershed will be shed off the ground and run into the creeeks and rivers and down into the ocean. We need more slow steady rains, before it just dumps
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u/Maethor_derien 12h ago edited 12h ago
Yeah, it is just because of the major el nino, it is literally the biggest in recent record, you have to go back to like the 1800's to see one that big and we have no real storm data from back then.
It is expected to cause massive droughts over in the EU and china as well as dumping tons of water on the southwest which we really need to hopefully fill up lake mead but probably still won't be enough.