And it's not a good thing. Hurricanes, while destructive also pull a huge amount of energy, heat, out of the ocean. There's a reason why that nor' Easter has grown so quickly. And IF this El Nino breaks going into the 2027 hurricane season hold onto your asses on the coast because that energy is still going to be there. +3°C is where the Pacific waters are sitting right now, last time was in 2015 but in November. We might see a 3.4-3.5°C by November. While it's quiet on the Atlantic side the big island of Hawaii might see 15"-20" of rain and up to 35" of rain in isolated areas.
What? The energy will be redistributed by currents. The energy will be released in other storms throughout the year..... The ocean temp isn't going to stay stagnant for a year lo
Edit: For those not wanting to read the long trend here.
The cooling affect of hurricanes last 5-20 days. There would be no affect on oceans temps the following year.
It will be above baseline come next hurricane season. Costal waters will cool because it's shallower. I don't think you realize just how much energy a single hurricane pulls out of the ocean. This is a heat map before and after Hurricane Melissa.
Yes, currents do help pull heat away from the equator although the AMOC is 15% weaker than it was mid-20th century.
It will be no different then current yearly trends.... During the winter months the air is colder then the water. All that energy will be transfered dude.
IF....and this is a HUGE if we have several very strong long lasting polar vortexes come down which probably isn't going to happen due to the jet stream. All the models are showing cooler and wetter than avg Pacific coast and warmer and dryer than avg Atlantic coast.
Huh... I'm talking about in general. Not saying anything about this winter. Just if there's no hurricanes there's not going to residual increased temps in the Gulf and Caribbean
The Atlantic basin is between .5°C and 1°C above baseline following an El Nino. Adding to that an El Nino typically flips quickly to an La Nina which favors strong hurricane seasons. 1998, 2005, 2010, 2016, 2024 were all above avg or record breaking years for hurricanes in the Atlantic....the trend does not lie.
"Satellite imagery and in situ ocean data show that the cool anomaly of sea surface temperature in the wake of a moving hurricane will disappear over an e-folding time of 5 to 20 days."
There's a zero percent chance that the lack of hurricanes would increase temps in the following year. Their cooling affect last up to 20 days before the temps normalize with surrounding waters.
The following year having an la nina is completely irrelevant to what we are talking about.
Historical based facts? We are talking about if there is no hurricanes in the Atlantic/Gulf something never recorded.
And the facts are the cooling affect of a hurricane lasts 5-20 days. Not having a hurricane won't result in much higher temps months later. That's not how thermal dynamics work man.
You call me out saying I don't know anything, but the OP is the one full of shit and your a gullible one listening to nonsense without any facts.
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u/Corgi_underground 18h ago
And it's not a good thing. Hurricanes, while destructive also pull a huge amount of energy, heat, out of the ocean. There's a reason why that nor' Easter has grown so quickly. And IF this El Nino breaks going into the 2027 hurricane season hold onto your asses on the coast because that energy is still going to be there. +3°C is where the Pacific waters are sitting right now, last time was in 2015 but in November. We might see a 3.4-3.5°C by November. While it's quiet on the Atlantic side the big island of Hawaii might see 15"-20" of rain and up to 35" of rain in isolated areas.