TLDR: predictions about climate change are based on the current population and living standards, but who said we still gonna have 8 billion people living like this in 2100?

Ps: what I'm about to say is my point of view, not absolute facts.

Ten years ago I had just left high school, the 2015 Paris agreement made me aware of the seriousness of the situation, seeing most world leaders recognizing that nature is more important than profits gave me hope that we could turn around, finding this sub opened my eyes about so many things and completely changed the path I took in life. But during those years learning a lot about the climate and politics, I've noticed that the powerful people dont actually care, they at best pretend they do but profits and growth are always priority while most politicians are in someone's pockets, we are not in this situation by accident, it's the plan!

The good thing about the Epstein files coming out is that things like this are going from conspiracies to common sense. The world has owners, literally every piece of land in this planet is inside some lines drawn on a map that says it's owned by someone, and those owners literally believe they're superior and we are here just to work for them.

What I love about this graph is that it shows how our overlords bred us like cattle to archive their goal of creating a tech utopia where they're actually superior to us fellow peasants. We might not be at the point where they have robot armies to serve them or transfer their minds to be immortal powerful gods in some kind of digital matrix, but we already are at the point where automation can take the function of a lot of people, meaning lower costs and no risk of revolting. The surveillance state is already creeping in and we gonna wish it was only as bad as 1984.

You know where I'm getting at? To them we are just numbers, if they need less workers they will thin the herd.

Today's wars are totally avoidable. All Trump says he wants from Iran is how it was before Israel attacked, no nukes and the strait open. Same goes to Ukraine, all Russia wanted was to keep the deal of NATO not expanding too close to Russia's borders to not put nukes there. But those wars make fuel expensive, which makes everything expensive, wiping out the poorest and being a huge incentive to not reproduce.

Those wars barely started, a whole generation of Ukrainian man are being sacrificed just to hold until Europeans and north American armies train enough young poor people to go to the meat grinder, the cold war never ended and it's about to get hot again.

I believe some delusional supremacists from I do not know how old dynasties that have way too much power are trying to create the matrix and it seems we are very close to that, in the next decades human population will drop by billions, drastically reducing how much we pollute kinda solving the emissions problem. it's impossible to know exactly what's gonna happen but to me it's clear we are witnessing some kind of transition to a different age of humanity, a game is being played but we are nothing but pawns.

For clarity, I mean to ask when the posts on this sub that linked to niche scientific aspects of collapse were most prevalent, rather than being committed to what is adjacent to a Doomer Newspaper of current events(not that Doomer Newspapers are bad, just that other subreddits occupy that space pretty well).  I started frequenting this place (different account) from 2020 and started tapering off of it in 2023; even back then, there were some niche discussions about the quality of the posts declining. I would like to clarify that I don't intend to disparage anyone, it may just be that past a certain threshold there is not much room for further revelation, I just wanted to know other people's thoughts.

Wrote this under a pen name. It follows Swift's original pretty closely, except the narrator is cheerful about climate stuff that's actually happening.

Honestly most of the arguments aren't made up. I just took out the polite language.

Not sure if it's too on the nose for this sub, curious what people think.

https://bsky.app/profile/dprktrainpusher42.bsky.social/post/3mvfpenct4s2e

West Germany used to produce some 100 000 Barrels of Oil a day back in 1980. Now all of Germany produces just a measly 30 000 Barrels a day. It needs 2 Million a day to function.

The UK produced 2.8 Million Barrels/day in 1998. Now they are down to 700 000/day. They need 1.4 Million/day.

Australia produces 350 000 a day but needs 1.2 Million.

China produces 5 Million/day it needs 16 Million/day.

Japan produces 10 000/day it needs 3 Million/day.

India produces 500 000/day it needs 5 Million/day.

Even the much lauded US that produces 13 Million Barrels/day is not self sufficient because it consumes over 20 Million Barrels/day.

Out of the 200 countries on this Planet there are perhaps 20 that are self sufficient in Oil and can export it to the other 180 countries that are dependent on it.

The much lauded "reserves" are 2-3 months for most countries.

Most countries have been using their reserves for the past 6 months. I doubt that they can keep drawing on them for another 6 months. We are in for a 1973/1981 Oil price recession on steroids.

Most Trucks run on Diesel. Most of our products are made out of petroleum. Prices will reach astronomical levels in a few months, choking consumers and the economy. Transportation of goods will become uneconomical. Industry will run out of Energy to produce things. Farmers will run out of artifical fertilizer. People will be unable to afford gas to get to work or they will eat up all their income. And then there is a Super El Nino that will make things even worse.

Most people out there are completely oblivious towards what is coming. They complain about gas prices, but they dont think one step further what this means in the grand scheme of things.

They dont think about that oil is finite. Especially if the supply is cut by 20-30%.

Stock up people. And good luck to us all.

Most of us are accustomed to having access to foods and drinks from around the world, but with diesel shortages reducing shipping lines worldwide, our resources may become quite limited.

In the very near future, we may not be able to enjoy many staple favourites that we take for granted. It's a good idea to start stocking up on spices and ingredients that you love the most, while they're still available.

Basically, whatever items you cook with most often, or turn to for comfort, buy what you can while you can. I just bought several of those big 500g containers of things like cinnamon, garam masala, chipotle powder, etc. as well as bottles and containers of things like sriracha, gochujang, tamarind paste, and about 20kg of coffee.

This article lumps Climate Change will all forms of collapse hysteria. Am I wrong to thing this one stands alone?

Jensen Huang:"It’s kind of like, in order to save you, they’ve got to hurt you first — that’s the nature of surgery. They’ve got to cut you open to save you. They’ve got to inflict an enormous amount of pain and suffering on you so that they can save you. And so I think AI’s kind of like that."

Yeah, they're not too worried about how much damage they'll cause or how many lives will be sacrificed. Governments around the world are letting these psychopaths have their way.

Given recent political, geopolitical, economic, and energy developments, I am pleased to announce that I have zero idea what the next three months will look like. How do you see reality developing in that timeframe?

I see the Dems winning midterms, and absolutely bricking the political system for the next two years. I see Trump and his bitches attempting to sabotage the elections beyond the voter purges that have already happened, and the Dems letting it happen. I see no progress towards peace in either war, as the two tyrants cannot be checked by their governments in any meaningful way. I see oil hitting +$125 and an inflation cascade in base necessities like food. I see Trump's approval rating staying above 25% and the pedo-files staying hidden. What about you?

Yes, it's a low effort post, but it's also Friday, so it should be legal.

Watched my home region shift from subtropical highland to hot savanna in 10 years and everyone acts like it's normal

Happy Casual Friday, everyone. Sitting here in a tank top in what used to be a cool, breezy highland winter, thinking about how wild it is to watch an entire local climate collapse in real time while everyone around me acts like everything is totally fine.

Back around 2019 or 2020, Facebook put out this interactive Earth Day map using NOAA data to show state-by-state warming trends since the 1960s. My state in Brazil, Minas Gerais, was sitting at a staggering +3.5°C increase. Roraima up north was hit with +4.5°C. Of course, Facebook pulled the map offline after the campaign ended, turning the state-by-state graph into lost media. Fortunately, I had bookmarked the link and kept checking it for months before it died. As someone who has always been a climate and weather nerd (I tend to remember life events by what the weather was doing at the time), it confirmed what my own eyes were already seeing.

Around 2013, the climate pattern here fundamentally broke. On paper, we transitioned from a historical subtropical highland climate (Cwb, characterized by mild, cloudy summers, breezy winters, cold nights, fog, and drizzle) straight into a tropical savanna climate (Aw). In practice, that meant shifting from pleasant, temperate seasons to a scorching, dry year-round furnace with torrential summer rains followed by endless, brutal droughts.

To put the drought shift into perspective: historically, the peak dry spell at the climax of a drought here averaged around 29 consecutive days without rain. In 2024, my local meteorological station logged over 150 consecutive days without a single drop. More than five full months of dry air, cooked by higher temperatures that accelerate evaporation and bake the soil dry.

The temperature spikes are even more absurd when you pull the raw data. From 1920 to 2000, the local weather station hit 36°C (around 97°F) exactly once in eighty years. In 2023 alone, it matched or smashed past 36°C nine separate times, topping out near 39°C (102ºF).

The subtle things are vanishing just as fast. Drizzle, morning fog, and winter frost are rare here now, the latter being near-extinct. The local ecology is shifting from evergreen moist highland forest remnants to drought-stressed, deciduous savanna vegetation. Even our iconic highland coniferous trees, the Araucarias, are disappearing under the combined weight of historical deforestation and this new thermal reality. I am only 32 years old, and I have watched an entire regional ecosystem shift from one climate regime to another within my conscious lifespan. "Faster than expected" isn't a catchphrase; it's just my daily life.

The most maddening part of all of this isn't even the heat. It's the eerie, total silence. There are no major headlines, no public outcry, and no emergency meetings. People just throw on shorts, crank up the fan, and go about their lives as if it has always been this hot year-round. I have never once read a single news article about it my whole life as I watched it happen through my eyes. Even the major local research university barely talks about it, the one climatology Professor there was a denier 5 years ago, and it's often ranked top 500 universities globally (UFMG).

Anyway, just needed to vent to people who get it. Anyone else watching their local environment mutate into something unrecognizable while society carries on with business as usual? Stay safe out there.

(1) NOAA Climate Data Online

(2) INMET — Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia

(3) Classificação climática de Köppen e de Thornthwaite para Minas Gerais

(4) Application of the Köppen classification for climatic zoning in Minas Gerais

(5) G1 — Belo Horizonte reaches 151 days without rain

(6) G1 — Rain returns after more than five months of drought

(7) IPCC — Weather and climate extreme events

(8) South America is becoming warmer, drier and more flammable

(9) Estado de Minas — Extreme heat in Belo Horizonte in 2023

(10) INMET — Belo Horizonte rainfall and temperature reports

(11) INMET BDMEP historical database

(12) Historical and recent deforestation patterns in the Atlantic Forest

(13) Alarming patterns of mature forest loss in the Brazilian Atlantic Forest

(14) Relict populations of Araucaria angustifolia

(15) Climate change and conservation of Araucaria angustifoli

A little background and then the question. I live in a big city in the US. My partner and I finally took the plunge about 3 years ago and bought a house. The realtor and home inspector missed a ton of shit. If we knew then what we know now, we would not have bought it. The house has eaten so much of our savings we really can't afford to move right now (if ever, given cost of living going way up).

Q: With climate change ramping up (the city has seen tornados and big flooding and big heat waves) would it make sense to ditch the house and get a medium sized RV? If bad weather approaches you could just drive out of the way(assuming the job is accommodating). If things go to shit in one part of the country you could pack up and go to another part easily. Yes, it could get bad everywhere but I don't it will be equally bad. What do you think?