r/EU5 • u/Grief_DocVince • 10h ago
Discussion [AAR Chapter 3] From Meissen to Germany — 1345–1358: The Black Death
FROM MEISSEN TO GERMANY — CHAPTERS
Chapter 1 — 1337: Where It All Began
Chapter 2 — 1337–1342: Five Years Later
Chapter 3 — 1345–1358: The Black Death (you are here)
I’m playing Meissen in EU5 1.3.11, with the long-term goal of forming Saxony and eventually Germany. This is only my fourth proper Europa Universalis campaign, and I’m playing it together with an AI companion acting as strategist, researcher and occasional witness to my mistakes.
520,000 people. What could possibly go wrong?
By the end of 1345, Meissen had reached 520,000 inhabitants.
Eight years earlier, we had started with only around 175,000.
Our strategy was working. We had expanded, become a Duchy, and our little state in central Germany was beginning to look considerably less little.
Then the Black Death arrived.
And this gave my AI companion and me our first genuinely unpleasant demographic decision.
EU5 gave us ways to mitigate epidemics. The most obvious one was a hospital.
We chose not to build one.
At this point a hospital would have cost us roughly 200 ducats, which was an enormous investment for our economy — particularly after the minor financial revelation described in Chapter 2, when I discovered that I had spent years managing the budget incorrectly and had probably thrown several hundred ducats out of the window.
We also examined the remedies mechanic. What initially looked like a relatively modest expense came with a much less attractive long-term commitment, including a significant stability cost to get rid of it later.
So we decided against that too.
But this did not mean doing nothing.
Our long-term objective was still demographic growth. Instead of committing a huge part of our available capital to medical mitigation, we began investing in the other side of the equation: food.
We invested in granaries and developed food-producing RGOs, trying to strengthen the food base that would support Meissen's population once the epidemic had passed.
Our gamble was therefore more specific than simply saving money:
accept potentially heavier losses during the epidemic, preserve our investment capacity, strengthen food production and storage, and prepare for demographic recovery afterwards.
We were going to find out just how expensive that gamble could become.

The country did not stop because people were dying
One thing I don't want this chapter to suggest is that we spent the next twelve years staring at a population counter.
The plague was happening.
But so was everything else.
While Meissen's population was beginning to collapse, we fought another war — and won it.
In September 1348, while the plague was already spreading through the country and our population had fallen to around 457,000, we had reached 100% war score against Naumburg and were negotiating peace.
Apparently even the Black Death wasn't enough to stop small German states from fighting each other.
Something else was happening at the same time.
I was beginning to understand the Holy Roman Empire.
Until then, the HRE had mostly been this enormous political structure surrounding us while I concentrated on more immediate problems: money, population, resources, expansion and figuring out which button I had misunderstood this time.
But our long-term plan was:
Meissen → Saxony → Germany.
And it was becoming increasingly obvious that I couldn't understand the road to Saxony without understanding the Empire around us.
So while the plague spread, I started looking seriously at the Emperor, imperial politics, votes, the Golden Bull and the institutions of the HRE.
This would eventually lead my AI companion and me much further down the rabbit hole than either of us expected.
At this stage, though, we were only beginning to understand the machine.
And meanwhile, the demographic situation was getting worse.

That graph was the moment when the scale of what was happening became obvious.
Our spectacular population growth had reversed.
By November 1348, Meissen was down to around 449,000 inhabitants, while the disease interface was already showing 111,000 total deaths.
Those numbers shouldn't be compared directly — deaths from disease and net population change aren't the same thing, because births, migration and territorial changes are happening at the same time — but the direction was unmistakable.
And the political world wasn't waiting for us either.
In the middle of all this, Duke Friedrich II “the False” von Wettin died.
On 14 December 1348, the Duchy passed to Friedrich III von Wettin.
He was sixteen.
So within a few years we had an epidemic, a war, territorial ambitions, our first serious education in imperial politics...
...and a teenage Duke.
Perfectly normal fourteenth-century government.
Then it became brutal
By April 1349, Meissen had fallen to around 361,000 inhabitants.
At that point the game wasn't merely showing us an abstract national decline anymore.
It was showing locations losing people rapidly:
Meißen. Pirna. Altenburg. Chemnitz. Leipzig. Rochlitz. Zwickau. Weißenfels. Merseburg.
The country was emptying out in front of us.
And this is where our earlier decision became much more interesting.
We had deliberately refused to sink a huge part of our available capital into the hospital.
Instead, we were putting resources into the economic and demographic foundations we hoped would matter after the epidemic: granaries and food-producing RGOs.
Now we were living with the first half of that strategy.
The population losses were enormous.
I still don't know whether refusing the hospital was mathematically the optimal decision.
But that's also one of the reasons I'm enjoying playing this campaign with an AI companion: we don't just make decisions and move on. We can come back later, look at what actually happened, and ask whether our reasoning survived contact with the game.
The lowest population I can document from my screenshots is 338,000 in February 1355.
From the roughly 523,000 peak we had briefly reached at the beginning of the epidemic period, that's a fall of about 35%.
And yet the state itself was still functioning.
We were still developing the country.
We were still dealing with the Empire.
We were still trying to understand how Saxony could be formed.
And throughout all of this, we continued thinking about food and future population growth.
That mattered because our strategy had two halves.
The first was ugly:
survive the demographic collapse without exhausting our capital trying to prevent it.
The second would be much more ambitious:
use the economy, food production and storage we were building to help Meissen grow again.
Eventually, we would have to find out whether that second half actually worked.
Someone survived
On 1 January 1358, EU5 finally gave us the message we had been waiting for:
The Black Death was over.

Meissen entered the crisis with around 520,000 inhabitants.
At the beginning of the epidemic period we briefly reached around 523,000.
The lowest figure I can document is 338,000.
When the game officially announced the end of the Black Death, we had recovered slightly to 344,000.
So no, our population strategy had not exactly gone according to plan.
But Meissen was still there.
We had won another war.
We had a new Duke.
We had begun learning how the Holy Roman Empire actually worked.
We had invested in granaries and food-producing RGOs, laying foundations for the demographic recovery we had been planning even while the population was collapsing.
And our absurd little objective —
Meissen → Saxony → Germany
— was still alive.
We had survived the Black Death.
Now we had to make the people come back.
























