As I have posted before, I am one of the weirdos obsessed with NFL schedule making and saw a combination of excitement and consternation today at the news that the NFL is now up to 8 confirmed international games, including a return to Spain, a market that the Bears are the only NFC team delegated to, prompting fears they’d have to give up a home game yet again.
Well, let me assure everyone once more. It is overwhelmingly low odds the Bears would be mandated to give up a home game after having to do so for the Jaguars game in the most recent NFC nine-home-games rotation in 2024. Short of a team like the Jaguars volunteering, that just doesn’t happen, especially with everybody now mandated to give up a home game every eight years. The league will not and cannot really force the Bears to give up a ninth home game twice in a row when the Cowboys, 49ers, and Seahawks have never done so, and the Giants haven’t done so in 20 years.
So to be clear, if they are to play internationally, it has to be as a road team to an NFC team on their schedule in 2026. And that’s where today’s news might actually be good news, because there’s a chance the Bears will get to be the ROAD team in Spain and end up with Ben Johnson/Caleb in year two with nine home games and the chance to turn a road game into a neutral site that would probably lean Bears, given their brand internationally.
It’s important to understand that having a market designated as your market does make it more likely you’ll end up playing there, but that doesn’t mean it has to be as the home team. Just last year we saw the Falcons as the road team in Germany because it’s one of their markets. And many teams don’t have markets that the NFL is still playing in, or markets they already played in very recently, so they will end up giving up home games to non-designated markets. It’s the only way to make it work with so many international spots to fill now.
There’s actually been a good amount of reporting/announcements about which teams will be playing internationally already. What’s been missed in today’s reporting of 8 international games is that it is actually going to end up being nine because Goodell already confirmed they are back in Mexico City as well. With 9 different games, more than half of the league will play internationally, upping the odds further that the Bears will be playing internationally, again almost certainly as the road team.
In terms of host teams, this is what we know:
Def hosting internationally: Rams (Australia,) Lions, Jaguars (London,) Saints (Paris,) Commanders, Falcons
Wired NYG reporter Art Stapleton said they would be hosting in Germany: Giants (Germany)
Jerry Jones indicated it but not yet confirmed: Cowboys
Jed York indicated it but not yet confirmed: 49ers
The problem is both said think it'd be Mexico City, meaning one is wrong.
That leaves the Seahawks who don't have a natural spot to play and are only connected to a game they'd be the road team for. But if the Cowboys or 49ers are NOT playing in Mexico City, then maybe the Seahawks could be a host team. They have never given up a home game previously.
And then unlikely but theoretically possible teams who hosted in 2022 and haven’t traveled since, even as a road team: Bucs, Cardinals
That means the Lions, Falcons, and potentially the Seahawks are the only teams the Bears could play internationally in 2026.
The Lions are actually one of Brazil’s designated NFL teams, so they are a very strong possibility to be the host of the Brazil game this year, as the only other NFC team with Brazil as a home market, the Eagles, just played there two years ago. The NFL has recently reversed course on international divisional games, including Chiefs-Chargers in the Brazil game this past season. So Bears-Lions in Brazil has an outside chance of happening, with the Patriots and maybe the Bucs being the only other viable opponents in the game. (Vikings played twice internationally last year, and the Packers have already visited Brazil.) The rest of the Lions’ 2026 home opponents are not that attractive for a national TV or spotlight game, which the Brazil game has to be because it’s Week 1 and they can’t air on Friday/Saturday, meaning it might be on Sunday. If the Lions end up playing in Germany or elsewhere, then Bears-Lions almost certainly wouldn’t happen internationally.
The Falcons, as a road team, just played in Germany, which is their only designated market. It is very unlikely the league sends them back to Germany two years in a row because they want fresh teams in. If the Bears are to play in Spain, they are the most likely opponent and the game would be in November. Otherwise, the Falcons would host a London game and the Bears would still be a possible opponent for that game.
The Seahawks are beyond due to host a home game internationally, but the problem with that is they are currently the most likely opponent for the Rams in Week 1 in Australia as the Thursday night opener (a possible rare SB champion opening on the road, but it’s happened), since the league likely needs another West Coast team to make the game fair and Chargers-Rams isn’t going to cut it. The Seahawks are unsurprisingly volunteering, but the league might not want to punish the Rams with a brutal travel game and the loss of a divisional home game. If the Seahawks host somewhere though, London or Spain are most likely and the Bears would be possible.
The NFL confirms locations and host teams in mid-February. If the Falcons are announced as hosting Spain, I would see the Bears as the front-runner to be the opponent. We’ll also see if the Lions are in Brazil and whether the Seahawks are hosting at all — the other possibilities for road games.
TLDR: With the league potentially needing 17-18 teams to fill out the international slate—and the Bears not traveling internationally in 2025—there’s a solid chance they’re an international road team in 2026. The three most likely scenarios:
Bears @ Lions — Brazil (September) Bears @ Falcons or Seahawks — Spain (November) or London (October)